Sentiment – AAII Bull/Bear Spread and S&P 500
Sentiment – AAII Bull/Bear Spread and S&P 500 Retail investors remain bearish, despite the market rally. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Sentiment – AAII Bull/Bear Spread and S&P 500 Retail investors remain bearish, despite the market rally. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Weekly S&P 500 GICS Level 1 Sector Breadth This bullish chart shows that the S&P 500 GICs level 1 sector breadth moved above five, confirming the 2020 market rally. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 – Anatomy of a Decline Is this a new bull market? Not yet, although the S&P500 has gained 20% from the low of 2192. Image: Fidelity Investments
S&P 500 Forward Return and Two Consecutive 3% Declines This table suggests that the current sell-off is a correction in a bull market. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
University of Michigan Stock Market Increase Probability Next Year and S&P 500 Drawdowns This chart suggests to remain vigilant on the U.S. stock market, when bullish sentiment is so high. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Total Return Index and U.S. High Yield/High Grade Chart suggesting a bullish market that is getting stretched and vulnerable. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
S&P 500 Forward P/E Ratio S&P 500 to 3,550? “Bull markets don’t die of old age” but the forward P/E ratio of the S&P 500 remains at high level. Image: Truist
S&P 500 Index vs. MSCI EAFE Index Largely due to structural headwinds, international stocks have underperformed U.S. stocks significantly in this bull market, over the last ten years. It could continue next year as well. Image: LPL Research
Total Return since 2008: 60/40 Portfolio, S&P 500 and U.S. Treasury 20+ Year The current bull market began 10 years ago, but the next 10 years could be very different. Image: Financial Times
S&P 500 Index and UBS Weighted Global Growth Surprise Index The divergence between the S&P 500 Index and the global growth surprise index could explain why this bull market is so hated. Image: Swedbank Research
Dow Jones Transportation Average vs. S&P 500 This interesting chart suggests that the Dow Jones Transportation Average underperforms in secular bull markets. Actually, the S&P 500 had higher returns when the Dow Jones Transportation Average experienced negative momentum. Image: Oppenheimer & Co.