Cumulative Number of Global Rate Cuts since the Global Financial Crisis This chart puts into perspective the cumulative number of global rate cuts since the Global Financial Crisis. In 2019, central banks in OECD countries haven’t cut this much since the Great Financial Crisis. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
Cumulative Interest Rate Cuts in OECD Countries Central banks in OECD countries haven’t cut this much since the Great Financial Crisis. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
Global Real GDP Growth It may take a few quarters for the financial system to feel the effects of the monetary easing measures implemented by central banks this year. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Holders of Negative Yielding Debt Central banks hold 79% of negative-yielding debt. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
Total Allocated Exchange Reserves by Currency The U.S. dollar represents 61% of all central bank foreign reserves. And the total value of all currencies held in foreign exchange reserves is almost $11 trillion. Image: howmuch.net
U.S. Equity Volatility and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty The chart shows that U.S. equity volatility does not mirror global economic policy uncertainty since 2009, perhaps due to strong central bank support. Image: Pictet Wealth Management
Different Holders of DM Government Debt The chart shows the historical breakdown of different holders of DM government bonds and overall DM debt-to-GDP. Even with QE, central bank government bond holdings are below historical peaks. Image: BlackRock Investment Institute
A Hall of Mirrors in Monetary Policy? This chart suggests a feedback loop between bond market pricing and central bank decisions. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Leading Economic Indicators (LEI): U.S. vs. Global Leading economic indicators appear to be stabilizing, outside the United States. The central banks’ policy response could have a positive knock-on effect on global growth. Image: Legg Mason
Can The U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Fall Further? Well, according to this chart, the U.S. 10-year treasury yield could fall further. The chart suggests that G4 central bank assets as percentage of GDP (1-year change) lead U.S. 10-year Treasury yield (1-year change) by one year. Image: Macrobond
Dalio Says U.S. Two Years From Downturn as Tax Cut Benefit Fades Hedge fund manager Ray Dalio speaks with Erik Schatzker about the next downturn and the impact of tax cuts. He also discusses debt cycles and the fact that central banks should control the level of debt and take responsibility for bubbles. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X1xcQKIl850