Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index With a current value of 72.55, the Market Greed/Fear Index indicates optimistic investor sentiment in the U.S. stock market, reflecting a greedy market. Image: Real Investment Advice
Insider Transactions Ratio The Insider Transactions Ratio indicates a neutral stance, demonstrating a well-balanced approach to insider transactions without a significant bias towards buying or selling. Image: Barron’s
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning The GS sentiment indicator currently shows a slightly positive state, indicating that investors remain cautiously optimistic. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Quarterly Net Margins Ex-Financials Forecasts indicate that S&P 500’s net margins will likely increase over the next few quarters, signaling a potentially positive outlook for profitability. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
S&P 500 Day of Month Seasonality Returns Considering seasonality and the two-week decline, a bounce-back in the S&P 500 this week would not be surprising. Image: BofA Global Research
Valuation – Russell 2000 Forward P/E The U.S. small-cap forward P/E is now above the historical average. This may suggest increased market optimism or expectations for higher future earnings growth in the small-cap segment. Image:…
Fed Funds Rate and Fed Funds Futures Deutsche Bank’s forecast for the Fed funds rate is more hawkish than many mainstream projections, expecting a single 2024 rate cut at the December FOMC meeting, followed by…
Flows to Japan Equities Japan equity funds saw their first outflow in over 3 months. This trend is in line with the broader global context, where there has been a shift in investor sentiment towards…
Inflation – Core PCE and Forecasts Despite the recent uptick in U.S. inflation, the decline in core PCE inflation from the elevated levels observed in 2022 has substantial implications for monetary policy, consumer behavior, and…
Inflation Forecasts The U.S. economy continues to show signs of steady growth and inflationary pressures. Deutsche Bank’s forecast suggests that the Fed will gradually work towards achieving its 2.0% target only by 2026. Image: Deutsche…