China M1 Money Supply Growth Leads MSCI World Index
China M1 Money Supply Growth Leads MSCI World Index Chart suggesting that China M1 money supply growth leads the MSCI World Index by 6 months. Image: Paolo Cardena
China M1 Money Supply Growth Leads MSCI World Index Chart suggesting that China M1 money supply growth leads the MSCI World Index by 6 months. Image: Paolo Cardena
MSCI AC World EPS Analysts keep raising MSCI AC World EPS forecasts for 2026, betting that the AI and tech boom will keep driving real profit growth and wider margins, not just another round of hype and heavy capex. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 – MSCI U.S. vs. G10 Excess Liquidity (Leading Indicator) G10 excess liquidity, the gap between real money growth and economic growth, is climbing again as it returns to post‑pandemic highs and gives U.S. stocks fresh support. Image: Bloomberg
MSCI Equity Indexes, Total Return in US$ America’s equity outperformance topped out in 2022. U.S. growth still looks solid, but lofty valuations suggest tougher performance ahead, arguing for a more balanced global allocation in 2026. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Performance – Value vs. Growth The U.S. market is experiencing outperformance in growth sectors driven by innovation and strong earnings, whereas value sectors dominate outside the U.S. due to slower earnings growth and differing economic dynamics. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Performance – Spread Between Quarterly Percentage Gains in S&P 500 Value and Growth Indexes Value stocks have significantly outperformed growth stocks in the first quarter of 2025. The upcoming earnings reports will play a pivotal role in determining whether this trend will persist or if growth stocks will reclaim their leadership. Image: Bloomberg
DXY U.S. Dollar Index vs. Nasdaq Composite / MSCI World Value Over the past two years, U.S. growth stocks—known for their sensitivity to currency fluctuations—have exhibited a strong correlation with the U.S. dollar. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
MSCI World Fwd PE and EPS Revisions Downward revisions in global EPS raise concerns, suggesting that the global economic landscape is precarious, prompting central banks to adopt more aggressive strategies to stimulate growth. Image: J.P. Morgan
Global Equities – MSCI AC World Mid- and Large-Cap Index Are emerging market equities poised for continued growth? Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Global Money Supply and MSCI World Index Global equities are around 1 standard devation vs. global money supply. It could be bullish for stocks, as global money supply growth tends to push equities higher. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
U.S. Tech – 3-Month Change in Price vs. 3-Month Change in FY2 EPS Until recently, U.S. tech earnings and stock returns have run hand in hand. With the correlation breaking down, dips are looking more like entry points, supported by solid growth prospects tied to AI adoption. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research