Search Results for: S&P 500 future

CTAs’ Net Position in S&P 500 Futures vs. S&P 500 Chart suggesting that there would be less short squeezes, as CTAs are covering short S&P 500 future positions. Image: Nomura

U.S. 10-Year Real Rate Leads S&P 500 Future Chart suggesting that the U.S. 10-year real rate leads the S&P 500 future by 22 days. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

S&P 500 Futures – Massive Pre-market Fear Since 1982 Since 1982, there have been two time periods of this massive pre-market fear: in 2002 and 2008, during the bear market. Image: Sentimentrader

Positions in S&P 500 Equity Futures by Asset Managers Equity positioning is far from stretched. Asset managers haven’t returned to their peak long bets in U.S. stock futures, and with resilient growth, easier policy, and firm earnings, the rally may have more room to run into 2026. Image: Bloomberg

S&P 500 Net Long Futures Contracts Despite some profit-taking, asset managers and leveraged funds remain strongly net long on S&P 500 futures, signaling a positive outlook for the U.S. stock market. Image: Deutsche Bank

S&P 500 Net Non-Commercial Futures % Open Interest Large speculators’ bearish positioning in the S&P 500 aligns with historical patterns seen near market lows, supporting the contrarian view that a rally is more likely if shorts are forced to cover. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC

Aggregated U.S. Equity Futures Positions and S&P 500 Relative to Its 200-DMA While leveraged funds and asset managers have slightly scaled back their bullish stance, they still maintain substantial net long positions in U.S. equity futures. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (ES1) Liquidity Thinning liquidity in financial markets exacerbates downside risks by increasing the likelihood of abrupt and severe price movements, particularly during economic or geopolitical shocks. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

S&P 500 and CFTC CME E-mini S&P 500 Asset Manager Institutional Net Total/Futures The net long position held by institutional asset managers on E-mini S&P 500 futures has been rising, with the potential to reach the peak positioning level observed in early 2020. Image: BofA Global Research

S&P 500 – Total U.S. Stock Index Speculative Futures Positioning Is now a good time to take a long position in U.S. equities? Image: Topdown Charts

Headline Inflation and Future S&P 500 Index Returns When inflation is high, future returns on U.S. equities tend to be lower than average. Image: True Insights