S&P 500 Performance After >20% Pre-Election Years Following a pre-election year gain exceeding 20%, the S&P 500 index has consistently shown positive growth during the election year, with an average increase in value of 11.3% since 1950. Image: Carson Investment Research
Average S&P 500 Performance Around Bear Markets and Corrections The current drawdown in the S&P 500 has been notably sharper compared to the average bull market correction, aligning more closely with the characteristics of an average bear market. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After >50% of the Components Make a 20-Day High When more than 50% of S&P 500 components hit a 20-day high, the S&P 500 index tends to perform strongly in the following 12 months, with a median increase of 16.4% in value seen a year later since 1972. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After New All-Time Highs On All Five Days of the Week When the S&P 500 hits new all-time highs on all five days of the week, historical data suggests a bullish outlook over the next 12 months, with a median return of 8.7% since 1950. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance One Year After >4% Monthly Gains Since 1950, the S&P 500 has never been lower a year after a monthly gain of over 4% in May. This period has been particularly profitable for investors, with an average gain of 20.1%. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After Bear (and Near Bear) Markets End Historically, the S&P 500 has consistently rebounded and performed strongly after bear markets. It has consistently delivered positive returns in the first and second year of new bull markets since World War II. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After Three Consecutive Days NYSE Advancers of 74% or Greater Three consecutive days NYSE advancers of 74% or greater suggest a bullish outlook for the S&P 500 over the next 12 months, with an average gain of 22.7% since 2000. Image: Carson Investment Research
How the S&P 500 Performance After Big Starts to Previous Election Years After a strong start to the election year, the U.S. stock market tends to regain momentum towards the end of Q2 and generally continues to perform well until the end of the year. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance (May – October) Broken Down by Presidential Cycle Sell in May and go away? Since 1950, the S&P 500 has shown an average return of 2.3% during the period from May through October in election years, making it an attractive period for investors. Image: Carson Investment Research
Median S&P 500 Performance Since 2000, the median S&P 500 performance after 6 consecutive declines has been 8.9% over the next 6 months, indicating a potential for a significant rebound and recovery in the stock market. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Performance After >25% Gain in 100 Trading Days An increase of 25% or more in the S&P 500 within 100 days (using the first signal in a cluster) suggests a positive outlook for the next 12 months, historically resulting in a median gain of 13.4% since 1950. Image: Carson Investment Research