Fed Funds Rate vs. U.S. Job Openings (JOLTS)

Fed Funds Rate vs. U.S. Job Openings (JOLTS) Declining wage growth and employment would allow the Fed to make substantial cuts in interest rates. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims The U.S.’s sustained period of low initial jobless claims indicates a stable labor market. This is a positive development showing resilience in the economy and providing hope for continued growth. Image: The Daily Shot

U.S. Labor Market – Net Job Gains

U.S. Labor Market – Net Job Gains Job growth in the United States is expected to slow significantly in 2023 compared to 2022. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Consumer Spending and Nonfarm Payroll Growth

U.S. Consumer Spending and Nonfarm Payroll Growth U.S. consumers may spend less going forward. Slower job growth usually leads to a slowdown in consumer spending. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research

U.S. Unemployment Rate

U.S. Unemployment Rate Technical analysis suggests an upside risk to the U.S. unemployment rate in the second half of 2024, indicating potential challenges in sustaining job growth and stability in the labor market. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Unemployment Rate Forecast

U.S. Unemployment Rate Softer growth is set to nudge joblessness higher, with U.S. unemployment seen near 4.6% by year‑end and closer to 4.9% under a harsher oil shock scenario. Image: Deutsche Bank

Share of Russell 3000 Firms Discussing Layoffs During Quarterly Earnings Calls

Share of Russell 3000 Firms Discussing Layoffs During Quarterly Earnings Calls You won’t hear much about layoffs on earnings calls these days, a hint that management still sees blue skies for growth. Talk of job cuts usually comes when profit margins start to thin. For now, steady headcount says it all. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…

U.S. Economic Forecasts

U.S. Economic Forecasts Deutsche Bank sees U.S. growth staying strong through 2028, with core inflation easing toward the Fed’s 2% target and job markets holding firm. Image: Deutsche Bank Click the Image to Enlarge

U.S. Debt Held by Public as Share of GDP

U.S. Debt Held by Public as Share of GDP Rising U.S. federal debt could lead to higher interest payments, reduced investment and growth, fewer jobs, lower wages, and less flexibility for the government to respond to future challenges. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research