Search Results for: market cycle

Private Market vs. S&P 500 Performance in Fed Hiking and Cutting Cycles Will private markets continue to outperform public markets? Image: BofA Research Investment Committee

Market Bubble’s Life Cycle Is the equity market’s rise driven by mania? Image: TS Lombard

Secular Bull Market – Dow Jones Industrial Average and 30-Year Bond Cycles Chart suggesting a “new” secular bull market underway with the potential to last until 2034. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC

Emerging Markets Monetary Policy vs. Economic Cycle (Leading Indicator) Chart suggesting that EM monetary policy easing is likely to increase economic activity in the coming months. Image: Topdown Charts

China Domestic Policy and Emerging Markets Growth Cycles Great chart suggesting that changes in China domestic policy have been a big driver of EM growth cycles. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Emerging Markets and Liquidity Cycles This chart shows that investing in emerging markets also requires an understanding of global liquidity cycles. Image: Fidelity Investments

U.S. Market/Business Cycle Historical Percentile Comparison: Today vs. 1998 & 2016 This great chart suggests that the current U.S. business cycle is in a typical late-cycle phase. Image: Pictet Asset Management

Markets Have Accurately Priced in Cuts before Easing Cycles Begin Orange lines mark days when markets priced in a rate cut. In recent history, it occurs between 33 and 281 business days before fed cut. The average is 120 business days. So, the Fed’s rate cut could take place in September 2019. You may also…

U.S. Equity Market Speculative Trading Indicator Animal spirits are building, but not yet overheating. Retail activity and Goldman Sachs’s Speculative Trading Indicator are firm, still short of past cycle peaks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Performance Around Issuance Upcycles Past issuance waves tell a familiar story: they usually line up with strong U.S. equity performance, underpinned by steady buying interest. That pattern is tough to ignore in a rising market. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

S&P 500 Performance per Year of a 4-Year Presidential Cycle Midterm years have a reputation for shaky markets. History tells a different story in second presidential terms, with U.S. stocks averaging an 8.8% gain since 1950. Those midterm jitters tend to fade quicker than investors expect. Image: Carson Investment Research