Search Results for: pullback

S&P 500 Total Return and Maximum Pullback In 2019, the S&P 500’s pullback (from peak to trough) of 6.8% was one of the smallest pullbacks in recent history. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC

S&P 500 5% Pullbacks per Year Since 1990, the average number of 5% pullbacks in the S&P 500 Index per year is 3.3. Currently, 2019 has two pullbacks of 5%. Image: LPL Research

S&P 500 Largest Pullbacks in the First Five Months of Each Year Over the last 50 years, the S&P 500 has performed the first five months of the year without a decline of at least a 2.5% pullback only once in 1995. Is a pullback for U.S. stocks approaching? Image: J.P. Morgan See S&P 500 Intra-Year…

Forecast of Gold Prices Goldman Sachs is sticking with its $5,400 gold target for the end of 2027. Rising rates could make the climb bumpier, but the bullish outlook may put a floor under pullbacks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 – Margin Debt Expansion vs. Contraction Margin debt is starting to roll over, and that is not really the signal bulls want to see. After climbing into the danger zone, it is now retreating, raising the risk of a broader market pullback. Image: Topdown Charts

CTAs Exposure to the U.S. Dollar The latest pullback has barely dented CTA appetite for the U.S. dollar, with positioning sitting at the 93rd percentile. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

U.S. Tech Sector Flows Despite the pullback in tech names, the money isn’t leaving: Tech inflows persist and semi ETFs are still seeing heavy volume. This looks like a consolidation, not the end of the tech/AI trade. Image: Strategas Asset Management

Oil Price Fair Value Oil is trading more than 50% above its estimate of medium-term fair value. Outside the 2022 shock peak, the market has rarely looked this stretched, leaving plenty of room for a pullback if conditions normalize. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Days per Year the S&P 500 Price and Breadth Moved in Opposite Directions Years like this, when the S&P 500 holds firm while breadth lags, have tended to come with a higher risk of volatility and pullbacks, even if they rarely offer precise timing. Image: Real Investment Advice

Magnificent Seven Stocks vs. S&P 500 – Cumulative Revenue Growth Since 2016 Since 2016, Mag 7 revenue has climbed 375%, versus 95% for the S&P 500. Earnings tell the same story. A flow-driven pullback can shake the tape, but it doesn’t change the decade-long compounding trend. Image: Real Investment Advice

Gold Drawdown from Its Trailing Previous Peak Gold has just suffered one of its steepest pullbacks in more than a decade. The drop looks less like the start of a lasting reversal and more like a classic flush after a prolonged rally. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research