Markets – Average Daily Change: SPY, TLT, LQD, HYG, IBIT Is “Sell America” becoming the new market mantra? Europe could rattle investors if it strikes back with tariffs and its own trade bazooka. Image: Bloomberg
January Barometer and S&P 500 Index Return Rest of Year When U.S. stocks end January in the green, momentum usually keeps rolling. Historically, a positive January has been followed by above-average returns 87% of the time, with a median return of 13.4% over the next 11 months. Image: Carson Investment Research
Fed Funds Rate and Fed Funds Futures Lower tariff rates and a dovish shift at the Fed could set the stage for rate cuts below 3.5% by year‑end, assuming inflation keeps drifting toward target and growth stays soft. Image: Deutsche Bank
Purchasing Power Preservation of Different Investments (S&P 500, Bonds, Gold, Real Estate) Gold keeps its shine, but since 1928, U.S. stocks have sparkled brighter. The longer the horizon, the more momentum favors productive assets. Image: Real Investment Advice
Global Debt Hits a Fresh Record Global debt keeps climbing, set to breach $350 trillion this year. A reminder that fiscal discipline and global coordination remain crucial to preventing financial shocks. Image: International Monetary Fund
Contribution to Annual S&P 500 Price Return In 2025, the S&P 500’s gains have come from earnings growth, not rising valuations. That’s a shift from 2023 and 2024, when richer multiples did most of the lifting. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Economy-Wide Firm AI Adoption Rate AI adoption keeps gaining ground, with 17.3% of firms already using artificial intelligence in their regular operations, a share projected to top 21.1% within six months. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Fed Funds Rate – 2026 Year-End Rate Levels Expectations Deutsche Bank’s latest poll of 40 global market participants shows expectations for the fed funds rate at end-2026 anchored near 3.2%, regardless of whether Powell keeps rates unchanged or opts for a 25-basis-point cut today. Image: Deutsche Bank
Gold Positioning Rising long positions in gold over the past two weeks point to strengthening demand, a classic bullish sign that keeps the rally in play. Image: Bloomberg
Magnificent Seven Returns With one sector and seven giants driving the world’s biggest stock market, volatility isn’t going anywhere. Investors should brace for more swings in 2026. Image: Deutsche Bank
Margin Debt to U.S. Market Cap While margin debt has been rising, its share of total U.S. market value still sits at manageable levels. That keeps leverage risks in check and suggests investors could take on more borrowing if equities keep their momentum. Image: Bloomberg