Search Results for: bear

U.S. Dollar and Policy Rate: Fed Minus G10 Excluding U.S. Should investors turn bearish on the U.S. dollar? Image: Alpine Macro

Duration and Magnitude of Major Nonrecessionary S&P 500 Index Declines According to Morgan Stanley, the current bear market rally in U.S. equities remains within historical norms. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

S&P 500 Fair Value According to BofA, the fair value of the S&P 500 is 3,911 by year-end 2023 (bear case, based on the most bearish model). Image: BofA Global Research

S&P 500 and Last Hike in Federal Reserve Bank Rate Hiking Cycles The last Fed rate hike is not necessarily bearish for U.S. stocks over the next 12 months. Image: Carson Investment Research

Months of Yield Curve Inversion Before Recession BofA remains bearish as a recession in the United States is becoming increasingly likely. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Goldman Sachs is less bearish on the U.S. dollar in 2023, given the weakness of the global economy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Volatility – S&P 500 vs. 12-Month Count of Daily Changes of -1% or Lower Is this the end of the bear market, as volatility has peaked? Image: Topdown Charts

S&P 500 Returns After a 7% Gain in the First Quarter Since 1954, when the S&P 500 gained more than 7% in the first quarter, bears cried and bulls smiled throughout the year. Image: Carson Investment Research

FMS Investors – Net % Overweight Banks FMS investors are bearish on banks, while most banks are in very good shape. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey

Nominal Effective U.S. Dollar and China Manufacturing PMI China’s rising manufacturing PMI is bearish for the U.S. dollar. Image: Alpine Macro

AAII Bullish Sentiment Individual investor sentiment must improve significantly if the current uptrend in U.S. stock prices is more than just a typical bear market rally. Image: BofA Global Research