S&P 500 Fair Value
S&P 500 Fair Value According to BofA, the fair value of the S&P 500 is 3,911 by year-end 2023 (bear case, based on the most bearish model). Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Fair Value According to BofA, the fair value of the S&P 500 is 3,911 by year-end 2023 (bear case, based on the most bearish model). Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 and Last Hike in Federal Reserve Bank Rate Hiking Cycles The last Fed rate hike is not necessarily bearish for U.S. stocks over the next 12 months. Image: Carson Investment Research
Months of Yield Curve Inversion Before Recession BofA remains bearish as a recession in the United States is becoming increasingly likely. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Goldman Sachs is less bearish on the U.S. dollar in 2023, given the weakness of the global economy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Volatility – S&P 500 vs. 12-Month Count of Daily Changes of -1% or Lower Is this the end of the bear market, as volatility has peaked? Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Returns After a 7% Gain in the First Quarter Since 1954, when the S&P 500 gained more than 7% in the first quarter, bears cried and bulls smiled throughout the year. Image: Carson Investment Research
FMS Investors – Net % Overweight Banks FMS investors are bearish on banks, while most banks are in very good shape. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
Nominal Effective U.S. Dollar and China Manufacturing PMI China’s rising manufacturing PMI is bearish for the U.S. dollar. Image: Alpine Macro
AAII Bullish Sentiment Individual investor sentiment must improve significantly if the current uptrend in U.S. stock prices is more than just a typical bear market rally. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 E-Minis Morgan Stanley remains bearish on the S&P 500. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Total U.S. ETF Flows by Asset Class Inflows to U.S. ETFs are very strong this year, despite the bear market. Image: BofA ETF Research