S&P 500 and Investment Grade Bonds
S&P 500 and Investment Grade Bonds The divergence between investment grade bonds and the S&P 500 tends to be a bearish signal for the S&P 500. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 and Investment Grade Bonds The divergence between investment grade bonds and the S&P 500 tends to be a bearish signal for the S&P 500. Image: BofA Global Research
Inflation – S&P 500 and the CPI YoY Index The secular chart could suggest a late 1950s pattern. Rising inflation is not necessarily bearish for the S&P 500. Image: BofA Global Research Click the Image to Enlarge
Long-Term U.S. Government Bond Quarterly Total Returns With low interest rates and inflation on the horizon, is Warren Buffett right to be bearish on bonds? Image: Financial Times
Sentiment – 25-Day U.S. Put/Call Ratio Bearish seasonality risk is increasing, as the 25-day put/call ratio is trading at relatively low levels. Image: BofA
MSCI ACWI Ex. U.S. ETF and ACWI Ex. U.S. Relative to S&P 500 The 3-year bear market for global equities ex. U.S. is over. Image: Strategas Research Partners
10-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Yield – 50-Day and 200-Day Moving Averages Could bond markets take a bearish turn? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
AAII Bullish Sentiment Above 50 Historically, a reading above 50 for the AAII Bullish Sentiment is contrarian bearish. Image: BofA Global Research
Markets – The Big Picture, 2020 vs. 2021 2020 is the year of the coronavirus, a lockdown, a recession, which is bullish for Wall Street. 2021 will see a vaccine, a reopening, a recovery, which is bearish for Wall Street. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Fair Value Adjusted for QE A potential “blue wave” could add fuel to the bear steepening in the U.S. Treasury curve. Image: Oxford Economics
FMS Investors and Bull Market Net 46% of FMS investors say “it is a bull market”, no longer a “bear market rally” (35%). Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
U.S. Dollar Most Oversold in 40 Years Morgan Stanley has exited its short position on the U.S. dollar index, but remains bearish in the medium term. Image: Morgan Stanley Research