Valuation – The Buffett Indicator

Valuation – The Buffett Indicator Warren Buffett’s favorite valuation metric (ratio of the U.S. stock market’s total market cap to U.S. GDP) looks very expensive. Image: Marketwatch

The Impact of an Inverted Yield Curve

The Impact of an Inverted Yield Curve Great charts showing that a flat/inverted yield curve implies weaker U.S. GDP growth, lower equity returns, and higher volatility. Image: Pictet Asset Management

The Longest Economic Expansion in American History

The Longest Economic Expansion in American History The U.S. GDP has grown for 121 consecutive months since the Great Recession. This is officially the longest U.S. economic expansion in history.  You may also like “Strength of Economic Expansions.” Image: CNBC

Debt, Demographics and Labor Force Growth

Debt, Demographics and Labor Force Growth The slowdown in the labor force in the U.S., China, Europe and Japan, represents 62% of the world’s GDP and 69% of the equity market capitalization. The labor force growth is expected to be -1% by 2055. Image: Fidelity Investments

S&P 500 Cyclicals Relative to Defensives

S&P 500 Cyclicals Relative to Defensives Chart suggesting that S&P 500 cyclicals could outperform defensives in 2020, based on higher U.S. nominal GDP growth. Image: Stifel

Dollar Index vs. MSCI Emerging Markets Relative Performance

Dollar Index vs. MSCI Emerging Markets Relative Performance Interesting chart showing the correlation of -0.89. Emerging markets could soar if the U.S. dollar falls. You may also like “Twin Deficits (% of GDP) Lead Real Trade Weighted Dollar Index by Two Years.” Image: Paolo Cardena

Detecting and Measuring Asset Bubbles

Detecting and Measuring Asset Bubbles Detecting and measuring asset bubbles is not always an easy task. This chart puts into perspective the current U.S. households financial assets to GDP and the U.S. federal debt as percentage of GDP.