Contributions to the Increase in the Unemployment Rate by Industry-Occupation Pair Goldman Sachs expects a nearly 12% increase in the U.S. unemployment rate. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Bear Market – S&P 500 Lows Compared to Initial Jobless Claims vs. Unemployment Rate The S&P 500 tends to bottom several weeks before the peak in jobless claims. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
U.S. Real GDP Annualized Quarterly Growth and Unemployment Rate Goldman Sachs now expects unemployment to rise to 15% by mid-year and a quarter-on-quarter annualized growth rates of -34% in Q2. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Delinquency Rate and Unemployment Rate Hopes of a V-shaped recovery are fading, as delinquency rates were already moving higher before the virus hit. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
U.S. Unemployment Rate Forecast Goldman Sachs forecasts new lows in the U.S. unemployment rate in 2020. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Growth and Unemployment Rate Goldman Sachs expects new lows in the U.S. unemployment rate in 2020. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Volatility of U.S. GDP Growth, Inflation and Unemployment Rates Interesting chart showing the decline in volatility of the U.S. economy that occurred in the 1980s. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Consumer Confidence and U.S. Unemployment A tight U.S. labor market and low interest rates should continue to support U.S. consumer confidence and spending. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
MSCI World Index vs. OECD Unemployment Rate and U.S. Consumer Confidence Chart suggesting that OECD unemployment troughs and very confident U.S. consumers do not generally bode well for global equities. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
NFIB Survey Leads U.S. Employment The U.S. economy is not unaffected by the trade war and global slowdown. This chart suggests that U.S. employment is slowing down. The chart also suggests that the NFIB survey leads U.S. employment by 6 months. Image: Rothschild & Co Asset Management Europe
Sentiment on Durable Goods Purchases Lead the Unemployment Rate This chart suggests that sentiment on durable goods purchases lead the unemployment rate by 12 months, and that the U.S. economy seems to be moving into the late phase of its business cycle. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research