Search Results for: treasuries

U.S. Yield Curve – Spread Between the 10-Year and 2-Year Treasuries A steepening yield curve suggests a stronger economic growth and rising inflation. Image: CNBC

U.S. Treasuries Held by Foreign Official Accounts vs. U.S. Dollar Index A bearish move in the U.S. dollar tends to increase foreign official holdings of U.S. Treasuries. Image: BofA

Earnings Price Yield for S&P 500 Minus Maturity of 10-Year Treasuries This chart suggests that equities are more attractive relative to fixed income. But the equity risk does not disappear because the spread (earnings yield minus Treasury yield) is positive. Image: Bhirud Associates

S&P 500 Minus U.S. Treasuries Returns in Two Years Before/After End of U.S. Recessions This chart suggests that the current episode assumes the U.S. recession ends in June 2020. Image: J.P. Morgan

Gold and U.S. Treasuries Chart suggesting that gold and U.S. Treasuries remain the safe haven of choice. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

Holdings of U.S. Treasuries as Percent of Treasury Debt Outstanding U.S. domestic investors are buying a lot of U.S. Treasuries, while foreign demand is weakening. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research

U.S. Treasuries Volatility Curve Short-term periods of inversion have been followed by higher U.S. Treasuries yields and tighter credit spreads. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

Volatility – Bond Proxies and Long-End Treasuries Bond proxies are less attached to Fed policy. This chart shows that the implied volatility of bond proxies is disconnected from long-end Treasuries. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

S&P 500 vs. U.S. Treasuries Despite its all-time high, the S&P 500 is below the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Treasury Index. Picture Source: Bloomberg

Correlation Between S&P 500 and U.S. Treasuries This chart shows the correlation between stocks and bonds, which could affect a balanced 60/40 portfolio. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

Returns for Major Global Financial Assets April was a standout month for the S&P 500, which surged 10.5%, even as U.S. Treasuries came under pressure amid rising inflation concerns and fading hopes for Fed rate cuts. Image: Deutsche Bank