Inflation – Wage Survey Leading Indicator

Inflation – Wage Survey Leading Indicator Wage growth is expected to increase. Will wages increases lead to inflation? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Productivity Growth and Hourly Compensation

U.S. Productivity Growth and Hourly Compensation When wages lag behind productivity growth, workers do not receive their fair share of the wealth created. Image: Economic Policy Institute

History of the Real Federal Minimum Wage

History of the Real Federal Minimum Wage Today, the real federal minimum wage is worth 31% less than in 1968. It is also the longest period without an increase (adjusted for inflation). You may also like “Wage Growth vs. U.S. Home Price Growth.” Image: Economic Policy Institute

Fed Funds Rate vs. U.S. Job Openings (JOLTS)

Fed Funds Rate vs. U.S. Job Openings (JOLTS) Declining wage growth and employment would allow the Fed to make substantial cuts in interest rates. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

When Is the Next Recession Coming?

When Is the Next Recession Coming? If history helps us to predict the future, a recession can occur when: Wage Growth minus Fed Funds Rate is below -1%. Why? Because the Fed is too tight at that moment. Since 1965, a recession has never occurred until Wage Growth minus Fed Funds Rate was below -1%…

What Will Cause The Next Recession – Paul Krugman On UBI And More

What Will Cause The Next Recession – Paul Krugman On UBI And More Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman speaks about the next recession, income inequality vs. growth, wages, universal basic income (UBI), redistribution and geographic inequality. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ja2PY2CnpOQ