Modeled Forward Russell 2000 Returns Conditional on Coincident Real U.S. GDP Growth The performance of small-cap stocks is linked to economic conditions. Weak U.S. economic growth may affect their returns, while strong growth offers potential for solid returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
China GDP Growth Excluding the exceptional year of 2020 due to the impact of the Covid pandemic, China’s nominal GDP growth has reached its lowest point since 1976, signaling a shift in China’s economic landscape. Image: Deutsche Bank Research
Median Policy Rate Projections in the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections The anticipation of rate cuts in 2024 and beyond is generally viewed as bullish for equity markets, as it signals a potential easing of monetary policy that can support economic growth and stock prices. Image: BofA Global Research
Growth vs. Value – Relative Price Return In 2023, growth stocks have outperformed value stocks by a significant margin. This is often the case when economic growth is relatively weak and inflation declines. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Home Prices vs. Wage Growth The widening gap between wage growth and U.S. home prices has significant implications for housing affordability and economic inequality. Image: The Daily Shot
Economic Composite Index vs. S&P 500 EPS YoY % Change U.S. economic activity is highly correlated with S&P 500 earnings growth. Should U.S. equity investors be worried? Image: Real Investment Advice
U.S. Real GDP Growth Recession risks are rising in the United States. Oxford Economics expects U.S. GDP to turn negative in H1 2023. Image: Oxford Economics
Real U.S. 10-Year Yield and U.S. Real GDP Growth Will U.S. real yields remain negative despite a strong U.S. economic recovery? Image: BofA Global Research
Global Economy – FMS Economic Expectations Has the global economy growth peaked? Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
Global Money Velocity Growth Global money velocity growth is back to its pre-pandemic level, around zero. Image: Oxford Economics
U.S. Population Growth by State Long-term population decline can lead to economic stagnation and disaster. Image: Quill Intelligence, LLC