Global PMIs

Global PMIs Global PMIs and earnings growth across regions could suggest a strong risk-on year. Image: Fidelity Investments

U.S. Corporate Profits and 10Y-3M Yield Curve

U.S. Corporate Profits and 10Y-3M Yield Curve While the divergence between large-cap profits and the rest of the economy is the widest on record, the steepening yield curve suggests an earnings rebound. Image: BofA Global Research

MSCI U.S. EPS vs. Trend

MSCI U.S. EPS vs. Trend History shows that earnings well above the trend in the U.S. precede earning plunges. Image: Barclays Research

S&P 500 EPS Forecast

S&P 500 EPS Forecast Despite the earnings squeeze, Goldman Sachs is still positive on the S&P 500 earnings outlook. In 2020, U.S. and global growth should rebound modestly. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 All-Time Highs

S&P 500 All-Time Highs Today, S&P 500 jumps to record high on strong earnings. This chart shows S&P 500 all-time highs since 1982. Image: Ritholtz Wealth Management LLC.

MSCI World Index Valuation at Cycle Peaks and Troughs

MSCI World Index Valuation at Cycle Peaks and Troughs On average, the MSCI World Index currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio that has marked cyclical peaks in the stock market over the past 50 years. Image: Charles Schwab

U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index and Cyclicals EPS Revision

U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index and Cyclicals EPS Revision This chart shows the correlation between the ISM Manufacturing Index and cyclicals EPS revision, suggesting that 4Q19 will see a reset, with capital goods pricing in an actual earnings recession. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

China Credit Impulse – Reflation Cycle

China Credit Impulse – Reflation Cycle This chart shows that China credit impulse has not yet boosted relative earnings. Credit impulse is the change in new credit issued as a percentage of GDP. Image: Fidelity Investments

S&P 500 Tax Adjusted EPS vs. Trend

S&P 500 Tax Adjusted EPS vs. Trend Interesting chart showing that S&P 500 tax adjusted earnings are well above the trend in the United States, and have historically preceded earning plunges. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management