Wage Growth vs. Fed Funds Target Rate and S&P 500
Wage Growth vs. Fed Funds Target Rate and S&P 500 High wage growth and accomodative monetary policy suggest a return to the sweet spot for the S&P 500. Image: Topdown Charts
Wage Growth vs. Fed Funds Target Rate and S&P 500 High wage growth and accomodative monetary policy suggest a return to the sweet spot for the S&P 500. Image: Topdown Charts
Sharpe Ratio for the S&P 500 U.S. stocks have had the best decade since the 1950s. The sharpe ratio is a measure of risk-adjusted return. Image: Bloomberg
Multiple Expansion – Year-Over-Year Change in the S&P 500 Forward P/E Since the beginning of the year, the multiple expansion explains the S&P 500 return. Historically, S&P multiples contract or remain flat following years of big multiple expansion. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch US Equity & US Quant Strategy
S&P 500 Performance 12-Months After ISM Manufacturing Index Below 50 for Four Months Since 1950, the S&P 500 has rallied 12-months later, 80% of the time, after the ISM Manufacturing Index was below 50 for four months, with an average return of 12%. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
The Value of Diversification – 60/40 Portfolio vs. S&P 500 This chart shows the return and volatility of a 60/40 portfolio vs. S&P 500. Image: Fidelity Investments
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Average Daily Percentage Change by Weekday: 2019 On average this year, returns on Mondays were lower than every other day of the week. The weekend effect persists this year and is an anomaly. Image: Bespoke Investment Group
S&P 500 Performance When the First Two Rate Cuts Are 25 Basis Points Over 40 years, the S&P 500 returns over 6 and 12 months were all positive when the first two rate cuts were 25 bps. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC
First, Middle, Final Years of S&P 500 Bull Markets since 1975 The chart shows that the S&P 500 has generated a 26.9% return on average, in the final years of bull markets since 1975, excluding the current bull market. You may also like “Equity Market Performance Around Bear Markets.” Image: Legg Mason
Dow Jones Transportation Average vs. S&P 500 This interesting chart suggests that the Dow Jones Transportation Average underperforms in secular bull markets. Actually, the S&P 500 had higher returns when the Dow Jones Transportation Average experienced negative momentum. Image: Oppenheimer & Co.
S&P 500 and Recession Probability Great chart showing twelve Fed easing cycles since the 1950s, including the recession probability and the average return of the S&P 500 Index. Image: Fidelity Investments
MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. and S&P 500 Index U.S. equities have significantly outperformed the rest of the world in recent years, but this has not always been the case. You may also like “Trailing 12-month Return Differential between U.S. and non-U.S. Stocks.” Image: ClearBridge Investments