S&P 500 Performance When the First Two Rate Cuts Are 25 Basis Points Over 40 years, the S&P 500 returns over 6 and 12 months were all positive when the first two rate cuts were 25 bps. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC
First, Middle, Final Years of S&P 500 Bull Markets since 1975 The chart shows that the S&P 500 has generated a 26.9% return on average, in the final years of bull markets since 1975, excluding the current bull market. You may also like “Equity Market Performance Around Bear Markets.” Image: Legg Mason
Dow Jones Transportation Average vs. S&P 500 This interesting chart suggests that the Dow Jones Transportation Average underperforms in secular bull markets. Actually, the S&P 500 had higher returns when the Dow Jones Transportation Average experienced negative momentum. Image: Oppenheimer & Co.
S&P 500 and Recession Probability Great chart showing twelve Fed easing cycles since the 1950s, including the recession probability and the average return of the S&P 500 Index. Image: Fidelity Investments
MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. and S&P 500 Index U.S. equities have significantly outperformed the rest of the world in recent years, but this has not always been the case. You may also like “Trailing 12-month Return Differential between U.S. and non-U.S. Stocks.” Image: ClearBridge Investments
AAII Survey Bullish Votes, Sentix Bullish Votes US Equities, vs. S&P 500 since 2017 Low AAII Sentiment Survey bullish votes of 24.71%, and low Sentix bullish votes for US equities of 12.84%, have corresponded with positive forward returns. Image: Sentix, Bloomberg Finance L.P.
S&P 500 Largest Pullbacks in the First Five Months of Each Year Over the last 50 years, the S&P 500 has performed the first five months of the year without a decline of at least a 2.5% pullback only once in 1995. Is a pullback for U.S. stocks approaching? Image: J.P. Morgan See S&P 500 Intra-Year…
The S&P 500 Hits All-Time High, After 6 Months Without A Record High. So, What Now? Can history help us to predict the future? Here’s a bullish case: the S&P 500 has been higher 17 out of 18 times a year later, since 1954. Source: LPL Research
U.S. Stock Market Valuation – Cape Ratio The S&P 500’s CAPE ratio remains historically high, which could potentially lead to lower subsequent returns over the following 10 years. Image: Real Investment Advice