ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day In a bull market, asking a bear how to make more money is like asking a cat to take a bath—neither is likely to cooperate, especially with the U.S. stock market hitting record highs! Have a Great Day, Everyone! 😎
Global M2 Liquidity The increase in global M2 money supply suggests that liquidity is on the rise, which is likely to stimulate economic activity and push equity markets higher. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
S&P 500 to M2 Ratio The rising S&P 500 to M2 ratio suggests a potential overvaluation in the U.S. stock market. This trend implies greater demand for stocks compared to the supply of money, worrying investors and analysts. Image: Topdown Charts
Cumulative Flows into U.S. Domiciled Mutual Funds and ETFs Are money-market funds flows a contrarian indicator? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
“Real Fed Rates Are the Most Accurate Predictor of Future S&P 500 Volatility,” Says SocGen SocGen says it is the most accurate predictor of S&P 500’s volatility over the last 50 years. Should investors be nervous about rising real interest rates? Yes, higher real interest rates mean higher borrowing costs. Real Fed funds rate is…
The S&P 500 Hits All-Time High Bulls make money and are happy again… Yes, but until when? Keep in mind that the US stock market is currently overvalued by 9%. Image: Hedgeye Risk Management LLC
Why Demand For Saving Deposits Has Weakened Since The Great Recession? Because risk aversion is declining, like money demand, even if interest rates are rising. This explains in part the rise of the US stock market.
Greek’s 5-Year Bond Yields Have Fallen Below US 5-Year Government Bond Yield Which one would you choose? Greek bonds or US counterparts? This is a great example of financial market madness. Mark Twain once said, “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it does rhyme.” That’s true! Greece has spent around half its time in default on its…