Bullish Percent Index vs. S&P 500 Index The S&P 500’s rally has reversed extreme bearish sentiment, pushing the number of stocks on bullish buy signals toward 70% and confirming a significant, broad-based improvement in market breadth. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Index vs. 200 and 40-Week Moving Averages Despite recent volatility driven by trade concerns, as long as the S&P 500 index is trading above the 200-week moving average, the secular bull market remains intact. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 and NYSE >70% Advancers Six Times Over a Two Weeks Period Six trading days with NYSE advancers exceeding 70% within a two-week period historically signal a robust bullish phase—distinct from bear-market rallies—with an average 12-month S&P 500 gain of 22.6% since 1950. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Drawdown and Insider Buying/Selling The Vickers insider sell/buy ratio, which tracks corporate insider transactions, indicates insiders perceive value at current price levels—a trend historically viewed as a bullish signal for market direction. Image: Fidelity Investments
S&P 500 Corrections and Bear Markets Market corrections don’t always lead to bear markets. In fact, historical data shows that only 13 of the past 39 corrections transitioned into bear markets, giving bulls reason to smile! Image: Carson Investment Research
Seasonality – S&P 500 Index Performance Post-Election Years Since 1950, the U.S. stock market has historically shown strong performance in March, April, and May during post-election years, offering bulls reasons for optimism. Image: Carson Investment Research
Cycle Composite for the S&P 500 While the market may face some choppiness in the near term, the Carson Cycle Composite’s prediction of a strong 2025 for U.S. stocks gives bulls reason for confidence. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Earnings Estimates Morgan Stanley forecasts S&P 500 earnings per share to hit $271 in 2025 and $303 in 2026, indicating a bullish market outlook. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
S&P 500 and 10-Month Moving Average The S&P 500’s 2.78% gain in January, including dividends, underscores the strength of the cyclical bull market that began in late 2022. Current conditions suggest continued growth potential. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 vs. Forward Earnings Estimates While the outlook for corporate earnings in 2025 remains positive, the elevated market valuations mean that companies will need to deliver on these high expectations to sustain the bull market. Image: Yahoo Finance
2 Year Calendarized S&P 500 Performance Starting in January The remarkable rise in the S&P 500 over the past two years is one of the strongest since 1928, bringing joy to market bulls. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research