91.2% Correlation Between Gold Price and U.S. National Debt

91.2% Correlation Between Gold Price and U.S. National Debt According to the National Inflation Association, there’s 91.2% correlation between gold price and U.S. national debt. The U.S. government’s public debt is now more than $22 trillion. Over the long term, the price of gold could continue to rise as debt increases. Image: U.S. Global Investors

96% Correlation with the US Stock Market and an R² of 0.92 since 1970

96% Correlation with the US Stock Market and an R² of 0.92 since 1970 Our forecasting models have a fantastic 96% correlation with the US stock market on a quarterly basis since 1970 and an R² of 0.92. It means that 92 percent of the US stock market variance is predictable by the flows of data…

U.S. Dollar vs. S&P 500 Index Forward Price/Earnings

U.S. Dollar vs. S&P 500 Index Forward Price/Earnings Keeping a close eye on the correlation between the U.S. dollar and S&P 500 valuation multiples is essential, especially considering the potential end of the greenback’s bull market cycle. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

Gold Price vs. S&P 500 Index and Recessions

Gold Price vs. S&P 500 Index and Recessions Gold, historically a safe haven during market declines, has seen its correlation with U.S. stocks strengthen since 2015. As a result, gold is more likely to move in sync with U.S. stocks during market downturns. Image: Real Investment Advice

ISM Manufacturing Index vs. S&P 500 Index

ISM Manufacturing Index vs. S&P 500 Index This chart shows the correlation between the ISM manufacturing index and the S&P 500 index year-over-year percent change, since 2011. The U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index in February stands at 47.8%, below the consensus forecast of 49.5%, which is indicative of a contraction in the manufacturing sector. Click the…

Bitcoin and Nasdaq 100

Bitcoin and Nasdaq 100 While Bitcoin has shown a significant correlation with the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ ETF) in recent times, it’s important to consider the volatility and performance differences between the two assets. Image: Topdown Charts

Total Equity Fund Flows vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth

Total Equity Fund Flows vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth Over the past 5 weeks, equity funds have seen inflows of $75 billion. The relationship between equity fund inflows and the growth in earnings of S&P 500 companies exhibits a discernible correlation. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

CAPE Valuations and Deviation from Exponential Growth Trend

CAPE Valuations and Deviation from Exponential Growth Trend While the CAPE ratio is not a reliable timing signal for market turning points, historical data indicates a correlation between high CAPE ratios and lower future returns. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 vs. U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield

S&P 500 vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Since August 2023, there has been a strong correlation between the S&P 500 index and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, which has been a significant factor in shaping market dynamics and investment strategies in recent months. Image: Deutsche Bank