VIX Curve and U.S. Election

VIX Curve and U.S. Election Investors expect more volatility ahead of the U.S. presidential election. Image: Financial Times

U.S. Elections – Pre-election Equity Performance vs. Average

U.S. Elections – Pre-election Equity Performance vs. Average Chart showing how the U.S. stock market has performed before and after presidential elections (“Closely contested” is defined as the margin of popular vote being below average). Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Volatility and U.S. Elections

Volatility and U.S. Elections This chart shows how U.S. presidential elections affect volatility when the same party remains in office or not. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

VIX vs. Global FX Volality Index

VIX vs. Global FX Volality Index More currency volatility on the horizon? The unknowns of the U.S. presidential election and the coronavirus pandemic could weigh on the U.S. dollar. Image: Bloomberg

Seasonality – S&P 500 Cycle Composite for 2019

Seasonality – S&P 500 Cycle Composite for 2019 This great chart shows the S&P 500 cycle composite for 2019 vs. the actual S&P 500 composite (places equal weight on: one-year seasonal cycle, four-year presidential cycle, and 10-year decennial cycle). This is not a forecast. Image: Ned Davis Research