S&P 500 Performance After Major Milestone Levels Are Hit Market optimism is so high, even bears are buying “Bull Market 2025” t-shirts, as the S&P 500 index has consistently risen in the six months following a significant milestone, with an above-average return of 7.7% since 1928. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Price Forecast JPMorgan has shifted to a bullish outlook on U.S. stocks, setting a 2025 year-end S&P 500 target of 6,500, driven by U.S. economic strength, AI sector growth, a robust labor market, and monetary easing by central banks. Image: Bloomberg
% of Days per Year to Make a New All-Time High for the S&P 500 The S&P 500’s performance this year reflects a strong bullish trend, with over one-fifth of trading days achieving new all-time highs, underscoring a favorable market environment. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 and S&P 500 Cumulative Net Up Volume Recent upside breakouts in S&P 500 cumulative net up volume, along with other bullish indicators, suggest that the S&P 500 may continue to reach new highs, indicating a robust market environment. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Down >1.5%, But Closes Up >1% on the Day Big reversal days, such as yesterday, have typically shown bullish trends in the U.S. stock market over the next 12 months, with a median gain of 16.1% since 1970. Image: Carson Investment Research
Pullbacks on the S&P 500 While 5% pullbacks can be unsettling, they are a normal part of the market cycle and often present good entry points for traders and investors to add exposure during a bull market. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
S&P 500 and 3-Month VIX Relative to VIX (VIX3M/VIX) The 3-month VIX relative to the VIX closing at an oversold level below 1 is a potentially significant indicator of market sentiment. This can be interpreted as a sign of capitulation and possibly a contrarian bullish signal. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 and New 52-Week Highs and New 52-Week Lows The improvement in the percentage of S&P 500 stocks at new 52-week highs can be seen as a confirmation of a cyclical bull market. This indicates positive market sentiment and a potential upward trend for stocks. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Performance After Bear (and Near Bear) Markets End Historically, the S&P 500 has consistently rebounded and performed strongly after bear markets. It has consistently delivered positive returns in the first and second year of new bull markets since World War II. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 and the Percentage of Stocks Above 10-Day MAs The rise in the percentage of S&P 500 stocks above their 10-day moving averages can be interpreted as a tactical bullish divergence, providing valuable insights into market strength and the potential for a reversal. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Dollar vs. S&P 500 Index Forward Price/Earnings Keeping a close eye on the correlation between the U.S. dollar and S&P 500 valuation multiples is essential, especially considering the potential end of the greenback’s bull market cycle. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management