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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;U.S. economy&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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	<description>Advanced Stock Market Forecast for Professional and Individual</description>
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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;U.S. economy&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
	<link>https://www.isabelnet.com</link>
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		<title>Truck Tonnage vs. S&#038;P 500 Index</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/truck-tonnage-vs-sp-500-index/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 May 2026 08:31:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=5016</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Truck Tonnage vs. S&#38;P 500 Index The Truck Tonnage Index remained unchanged in April. Trucks represent 72.7% of U.S. freight and serve as a barometer of the U.S. economy. This chart shows that, historically, the U.S. stock market has tended to increase in line with the physical size and expansion of the U.S. economy (R²&#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Citi Economic Surprises</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/citi-economic-surprise-index/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2026 08:30:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=27626</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Citi Economic Surprises The U.S. economy has held up better than its peers since the Middle East conflict escalated, as growth prospects elsewhere have dimmed, pushing investors toward the U.S. as the steadier bet. Image: TS Lombard]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Real GDP Growth</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-real-gdp-growth-2/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 May 2026 08:30:18 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=68502</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Real GDP Growth Goldman Sachs is sticking with the U.S. growth call, projecting the economy will hold at 2.1% in both 2026 and 2027, supported by tax cuts, looser financial conditions, and easing tariff pressure. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Sentiment &#8211; Risk Appetite and Expected U.S. Equity Market Performance</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/risk-appetite-and-expected-u-s-equity-market-performance/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2026 08:30:56 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=77559</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Sentiment &#8211; Risk Appetite and Expected U.S. Equity Market Performance U.S. equity fund managers are cautiously stepping back into risk as the earnings outlook brightens. Sentiment is improving on growing confidence in corporate profits, alongside a more constructive view on the U.S. economy. Image: S&#38;P Global Market Intelligence]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/temporary-help-services-vs-real-gdp-and-u-s-recession/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2026 08:30:53 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=10152</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs stand at -1.68% YoY in April. The relationship between Temporary Help Services jobs and the macroeconomy is complex. Declines in Temporary Help Services Jobs are often considered a leading indicator of a potential recession (red line at -3.5%), but they do&#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Heavy Truck Sales and Recessions (Leading Indicator)</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-heavy-trucks-sales-vs-recessions/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Apr 2026 08:30:10 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=6231</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Heavy Truck Sales and Recessions (Leading Indicator) U.S. heavy truck sales slightly in March to 342K (annualized). Before recessions, heavy trucks sales tend to peak and then decline, providing insights into the overall health of the U.S. economy as a leading economic indicator. Click the Image to Enlarge]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Oil Prices vs. U.S. Inflation</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-breakeven-inflation-rates-vs-oil/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Apr 2026 08:33:34 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=71499</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Oil Prices vs. U.S. Inflation When oil climbs, inflation usually follows, lifting energy and transport costs that spread through the economy. The result often weighs on stocks, as tighter profit margins and softer consumer spending feed through the market. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Bond Volatility &#8211; MOVE Index</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/bond-volatility-move-index/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Apr 2026 08:30:32 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=71952</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Bond Volatility &#8211; MOVE Index With the MOVE index trending lower, U.S. rate volatility has cooled, which brings a dose of relief to bond desks and, by extension, the economy. It&#8217;s definitely a welcome breather for the markets. Image: The Daily Shot]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Inflation: 1970 vs. Today</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-equities-adjusted-for-inflation/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2026 09:32:49 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=98161</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Inflation: 1970 vs. Today The modern economy shows greater resilience to inflation pressures compared to the 1970s, but whether it avoids stagflation depends on how long the current geopolitical conflict lasts. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Markets &#8211; Cumulative S&#038;P 500 Growth vs. Cumulative Real GDP Growth vs. Cumulative S&#038;P Sales Growth</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/markets-cumulative-sp-500-growth-vs-cumulative-real-gdp-growth-vs-cumulative-sp-sales-growth/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Mar 2026 09:33:05 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=47237</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Markets &#8211; Cumulative S&#38;P 500 Growth vs. Cumulative Real GDP Growth vs. Cumulative S&#38;P Sales Growth Years of Fed stimulus have taught investors to buy every dip, pushing U.S. markets skyward and away from the real economy. The disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street has never been clearer. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>WTI Crude Oil and Recessions</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-crude-oil-total-production/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2026 09:31:43 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=31835</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[WTI Crude Oil and Recessions When oil prices surge, sometimes doubling, it&#8217;s often a red flag for the U.S. economy. History shows these jumps tend to foreshadow recessions, making crude a key gauge for investors watching for signs of a slowdown. Image: Yahoo Finance]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>Recession &#8211; Leading Economic Index (LEI) vs. U.S. GDP</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/recession-economic-output-composite-index-vs-lei/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Feb 2026 09:33:56 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=71698</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Recession &#8211; Leading Economic Index (LEI) vs. U.S. GDP A recession isn&#8217;t on the radar for 2026, but the Conference Board&#8217;s Leading Economic Index keeps sliding, hinting that growth could still lose steam this year. The coming months may reveal how resilient the U.S. economy really is. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Non-Financial Corporate Profits vs. 5-Year Average</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-vs-corporate-profits-after-tax/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Feb 2026 09:33:35 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=25997</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Non-Financial Corporate Profits vs. 5-Year Average U.S. corporate profits have surged since the COVID-19 pandemic, far outpacing the real economy. Past cycles warn that such imbalances eventually correct when market sentiment shifts. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Nasdaq After the Netscape IPO and ChatGPT Came Out</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/performance-digital-economy-renewables-nasdaq-sp-500-and-stoxx-600/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Feb 2026 09:32:23 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=29701</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Nasdaq After the Netscape IPO and ChatGPT Came Out It&#8217;s not unusual for U.S. tech to lag in the third year after a big innovation, with the post‑Netscape years offering a perfect textbook case. Image: Carson Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>U.S. and Global Economic Surprises</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/city-economic-surprise-index-u-s-economy-vs-global-economy/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Feb 2026 09:30:25 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=15240</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. and Global Economic Surprises Global economic surprises have surged to a two‑year high, with the U.S. gaining momentum, a mix that usually bodes well for stocks and credit in the near term. Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Performance Around First Fed Rate Cut</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-market-odds-of-a-fourth-fed-rate-cut/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jan 2026 09:31:59 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=17112</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#038;P 500 Performance Around First Fed Rate Cut When the economy stays firm, Fed rate cuts have a history of boosting stocks and the S&#38;P 500&#8217;s current run is no exception. Image: TS Lombard]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>U.S. Corporate Profits as % of Real GDP</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/after-tax-corporate-profits-as-a-share-of-gdp/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Jan 2026 09:33:03 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=62916</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Corporate Profits as % of Real GDP U.S. corporate profits are running far ahead of real economy growth, reaching the widest gap on record. History shows that such divergences rarely last once markets face reality. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>U.S. Financial Conditions Index and SLOOS</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/impulse-to-quarterly-annualized-gdp-growth-from-fiscal-policy-and-financial-conditions/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Jan 2026 09:30:47 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=77962</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Financial Conditions Index and SLOOS With financial conditions easing and banks pulling back on loan tightening, the U.S. economy looks poised for stronger investment, hiring, and growth. But those tailwinds could reignite inflation if demand runs ahead of supply. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>U.S. GDP vs. S&#038;P 500 EPS</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-gdp-vs-sp-500-eps/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Dec 2025 09:33:55 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=105624</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. GDP vs. S&#038;P 500 EPS With GDP growth and S&#38;P 500 earnings moving in lockstep, vigilance is warranted. Valuations are lofty, forecasts are rosy, and history shows that when the economy cools, earnings don&#8217;t stay hot for long. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>EPS &#8211; GS Top-Down vs. Consensus Bottom-Up Estimates</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/valuation-gs-top-down-vs-consensus-bottom-up-estimates-of-2020-eps-growth/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Dec 2025 09:30:23 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=27190</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[EPS &#8211; GS Top-Down vs. Consensus Bottom-Up Estimates Goldman Sachs sees S&#38;P 500 EPS rising 12% in 2026 and 10% in 2027, driven by a resilient U.S. economy, a weaker dollar, strong mega-cap tech earnings, and AI-related productivity gains. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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