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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;bank reserve&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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	<description>Advanced Stock Market Forecast for Professional and Individual</description>
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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;bank reserve&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
	<link>https://www.isabelnet.com</link>
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		<title>New York Fed GDP Nowcast</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/new-york-fed-gdp-nowcast/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Jul 2026 08:30:38 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=27950</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[New York Fed GDP Nowcast The New York Fed raised its Q3 2026 U.S. GDP nowcast slightly to 2.62% from 2.60%, keeping the growth outlook on track. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Click the Image to Enlarge]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/temporary-help-services-vs-real-gdp-and-u-s-recession/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Jul 2026 08:30:53 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=10152</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs stand at -0.22% YoY in June. The relationship between Temporary Help Services jobs and the macroeconomy is complex. Declines in Temporary Help Services Jobs are often considered a leading indicator of a potential recession (red line at -3.5%), but they do&#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/smoothed-u-s-recession-probabilities/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Jul 2026 08:30:30 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=6193</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities The probability of U.S. recession stands at 0.54%. When this recession indicator exceeds 5% (red line), history suggests that the probability of recession increases significantly. The chart shows the smoothed U.S. recession probabilities indicator on a log scale. Smoothed U.S. recession probabilities are obtained from a dynamic-factor markov-switching model applied to&#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Probability of U.S. Recession Calculated from the Yield Curve</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/probability-of-u-s-recession-calculated-from-the-yield-curve/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Jun 2026 08:30:54 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=12347</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Probability of U.S. Recession Calculated from the Yield Curve The probability of U.S. recession in 12 months, calculated from the yield curve, stands at 13.6%, leaving the expansion narrative in place.. This cycle still has room to run. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Dow Jones Performance Under Various Federal Reserve Bank Chairs</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/dow-jones-performance-under-various-federal-reserve-bank-chairs/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 May 2026 08:32:27 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=142146</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Dow Jones Performance Under Various Federal Reserve Bank Chairs The Dow has performed well under Jerome Powell, delivering an annualized return of 8.4%, comfortably above the long-term average of 6.2%. That puts him 8th among the 16 Fed chairs. Will Kevin Warsh do better? Image: Carson Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Central Bank Gold Purchases</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/central-bank-asset-purchases-coming-back/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2026 08:33:49 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=12291</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Central Bank Gold Purchases Central bank gold buying eased to 863 tonnes in 2025 from 1,092 tonnes in 2024. Buying has cooled, but official-sector demand remains well above historical standards and continues to play a strategic role in reserve diversification. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. New Private Housing Units Authorized by Building Permits and Recessions</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-new-private-housing-units-authorized-by-building-permits-and-recessions/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2026 08:30:24 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=18883</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. New Private Housing Units Authorized by Building Permits and Recessions In March, U.S. building permits declined to 1.372 million, below expectations. Historically, building permits tend to peak and then decline prior to economic recessions. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Gold as a Share of Total Central Bank FX Reserves</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/gold-price-vs-gold-composite-fx-breadth-indicator/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Feb 2026 09:31:17 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=69137</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Gold Price vs. Gold Composite FX Breadth Indicator Gold&#8217;s role is shifting: it&#8217;s no longer just a safe haven but a cornerstone of monetary stability as central banks keep adding to their reserves in an increasingly fragile global system. Image: J.P. Morgan Flows and Liquidity]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. M2 Money Creation by Year</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/m2-money-supply/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Jan 2026 09:30:32 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=60907</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. M2 Money Creation by Year All signs point to a 2026 liquidity wave: bigger money funds, solid bank credit, and $40 billion a month from the Fed in T‑bill buys. That could juice reserves, pump up nearly $2 trillion in money creation, and keep stocks humming. Image: J.P. Morgan Flows and Liquidity]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Composition of Fed Liabilities with Projections</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/federal-reserve-balance-sheet-until-2022/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Dec 2025 09:30:22 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=39066</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Composition of Fed Liabilities with Projections With QT ending, the Fed will pivot to reserve management purchases of Treasury bills in early 2026. Goldman Sachs expects bank reserves to climb past $3 trillion by late next year, a sign that liquidity is finally loosening again. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<item>
		<title>Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/atlanta-fed-gdpnow-u-s-real-gdp-estimate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Dec 2025 09:30:25 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=10739</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate Estimates from the Atlanta Fed&#8217;s GDPNow point to 3.9% annualized GDP growth in Q3 2025, a reminder that the U.S. economy isn&#8217;t cooling just yet. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Global Central Bank Gold Reserves</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/annual-changes-in-central-bank-gold-reserves/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Oct 2025 08:30:35 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=96281</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Global Central Bank Gold Reserves A striking 95% of reserve managers expect central banks to boost their gold holdings within 12 months, up from 81% a year ago—clear evidence of a sustained rush into the yellow metal. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Gold Expanding Share of Global Foreign Exchange + Gold Reserve Holdings</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/countries-with-the-largest-gold-reserves-worldwide/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Oct 2025 08:30:52 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=11969</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Gold Expanding Share of Global Foreign Exchange + Gold Reserve Holdings With gold now making up 30% of global foreign exchange and gold reserves, the metal is stealing back the spotlight—a clear sign of how fragile faith in fiat has become. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Reserves in Different Currencies</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-dollar-share-of-global-currency-reserves/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 26 Jul 2025 08:30:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=37591</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Reserves in Different Currencies While the USD share of global FX reserves has slipped somewhat, it remains close to 60% and continues to be the leading global reserve currency by a wide margin. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Global Gold Reserves vs. Global Dollar Reserves</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/central-bank-reserve-holdings-of-gold/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2025 08:30:50 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=17028</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Global Gold Reserves vs. Global Dollar Reserves Amid rising geopolitical tensions and a shifting global financial landscape, central banks worldwide are increasingly favoring gold over the U.S. dollar as a reserve asset. Image: Blomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Dollar vs. Gold &#8211; Share in Global Reserves</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/gold-and-frb-broad-trade-weighted-dollar-index/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Jun 2025 08:31:29 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=34603</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Dollar vs. Gold &#8211; Share in Global Reserves As countries and central banks seek to reduce their reliance on the U.S. dollar for reserves and international trade, gold has emerged as the preferred alternative asset. Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>Fed Balance Sheet</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/fed-balance-sheet/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Feb 2025 09:29:14 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=30176</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Fed Balance Sheet The ongoing reduction of the Fed&#8217;s balance sheet is expected to reduce bank reserves. This reduction may lead to higher inflation, increased real yields, and a steeper yield curve. Image: TS Lombard]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Physical Gold Held by all Gold ETFs Globally</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/physical-gold-held-by-all-gold-etfs-globally/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Jan 2025 09:31:58 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=30145</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Physical Gold Held by all Gold ETFs Globally While central banks are increasing their gold reserves as a hedge against economic uncertainty and currency risks, global gold ETFs continue to see a decline in investor interest. Image: J.P. Morgan]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>U.S. M2 to Nominal GDP Ratio</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-m2-to-nominal-gdp-ratio/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Jan 2025 09:29:37 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=84267</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. M2 to Nominal GDP Ratio The return of the U.S. M2 to nominal GDP ratio to its long-term trend is a positive indicator. It reflects a healthier balance between money supply and economic output, fostering stability and sustainable growth in the economy. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>U.S. Money Market Funds</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/flows-retail-money-market-funds/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Dec 2024 09:29:41 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=81159</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Money Market Funds Following the Fed&#8217;s first rate cut, U.S. money market funds typically experience outflows within 12 months as investors rebalance portfolios and reassess risk in response to changing interest rates and market conditions. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis]]></description>
		
		
		
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