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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;bond&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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	<description>Advanced Stock Market Forecast for Professional and Individual</description>
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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;bond&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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		<title>2-Month U.S. Equity/U.S. 10-Year Bond Yield Correlation</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-equity-and-bond-correlation/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 May 2026 08:30:44 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[2-Month U.S. Equity/U.S. 10-Year Bond Yield Correlation The two-month correlation between U.S. equities and 10-year yields has broken down to late-1990s extremes, typically a recipe for higher volatility and greater pressure on duration-sensitive sectors, especially growth stocks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. ETF and Mutual Fund Flows</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-etf-and-mutual-fund-flows/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2026 08:30:58 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. ETF and Mutual Fund Flows Over the past year, U.S. investors have favored bonds and money market funds over riskier equities, with geopolitical tensions hanging over markets and interest rates staying elevated. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Average Global Equities Returns Depending on Absolute Moves in U.S. 10-Year Yields</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/median-sp-500-1-month-return-vs-z-score-of-1-month-change-in-10-year-treasury-yields/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2026 08:30:26 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Average Global Equities Returns Depending on Absolute Moves in U.S. 10-Year Yieldss Big moves in bond yields rarely go unnoticed by equities. A rapid rise in yields can act as a red flag for stocks, as investors push for greater compensation to stay exposed. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>1-Month Rolling Correlation of 10-Year UST Yield Change and S&#038;P 500 Returns</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-correlation-with-bond-yields/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2026 08:30:04 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=45570</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[1-Month Rolling Correlation of 10-Year UST Yield Change and S&#38;P 500 Returns Since the start of the Middle East conflict, U.S. Treasuries have struggled to play their traditional diversification role. The one-month rolling correlation between 10-year yields and equitie returns has sunk to a multi-decade low. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Median Annual S&#038;P 500 Total Return Based on Nominal 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-total-return-vs-u-s-high-yield-high-grade-total-return-relative/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 May 2026 08:30:52 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=47148</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Median Annual S&#38;P 500 Total Return Based on Nominal 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield There is no fixed relationship between bond yields and equity returns. Their correlation changes over time, driven by inflation dynamics, rate expectations, and shifts in credit risk. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>CTAs Exposure to Bonds</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/ctas-exposure-to-bonds/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 May 2026 08:30:47 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[CTAs Exposure to Bonds CTAs&#8217; overall allocation to bonds sits in the 8th percentile, indicating little appetite for rates risk. Fixed income is simply not where they want exposure right now. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Global Market Implied Equity Risk Premiums</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/global-market-implied-equity-risk-premiums/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 May 2026 08:31:31 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=41357</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Global Market Implied Equity Risk Premiums With equity risk premiums squeezed in the U.S. and Japan, stocks are offering little extra return over bonds, making the trade harder to justify and raising the odds of investor disappointment. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Excess CAPE Yield and Subsequent 10-Year Real Return</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/10-year-sp-500-total-excess-return-over-u-s-treasury-notes-vs-cape/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Apr 2026 08:31:47 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=84237</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Excess CAPE Yield and Subsequent 10-Year Real Return The excess CAPE yield, which measures the gap between bond yields and the inverse of the P/E ratio, indicates that U.S. stocks look pricey, making now a tough entry point for buyers. The risk/reward looks thin at these levels. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Fund Flows</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-fund-flows/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Apr 2026 08:30:44 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Fund Flows Since 2019, both cash and bonds have drawn substantial inflows, as investors have shifted toward perceived safety and income‑generating assets amid heightened macro uncertainty and evolving central‑bank policy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>AAII Asset Allocation</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/aaii-survey-investor-asset-allocations-equities/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Apr 2026 08:30:42 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[AAII Asset Allocation Signs of caution are surfacing among U.S. retail investors, who cut their stock holdings for a fourth straight month in March while trimming bond positions and parking more money in cash. Many are waiting for clearer signals. Image: Daily Chartbook]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Bond Volatility &#8211; MOVE Index</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/bond-volatility-move-index/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Apr 2026 08:30:32 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Bond Volatility &#8211; MOVE Index With the MOVE index trending lower, U.S. rate volatility has cooled, which brings a dose of relief to bond desks and, by extension, the economy. It&#8217;s definitely a welcome breather for the markets. Image: The Daily Shot]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>60/40 Portfolio Monthly Return Decomposition</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/60-40-portfolio-annual-return/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Apr 2026 08:30:17 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=36088</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[60/40 Portfolio Monthly Return Decomposition The classic 60/40 portfolio slid 3.7% in March as stocks and bonds dropped in tandem. Such lockstep declines aren&#8217;t unusual when markets brace for higher prices or sticky inflation ahead. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Cash Allocation by Non-Bank Investors Globally</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/global-m2-ex-china-and-cash-allocation-by-non-bank-investors-globally/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Mar 2026 09:30:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Cash Allocation by Non-Bank Investors Globally Non‑bank global investors are rotating out of stocks and bonds and into cash as the Middle East conflict‑related energy shock raises inflation fears and the risk of higher interest rates. Image: J.P. Morgan]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Index and BB to 10-Year Treasury Spread</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-index-and-yield-spread-a-rated-vs-junk-bonds/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Mar 2026 09:33:58 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=66115</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Index and BB to 10-Year Treasury Spread Keeping an eye on the junk to Treasury bond spread can reveal how healthy the U.S. market really is, and where it might be going next. The bond market usually sends signals before stocks react. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Average U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Performance After Oil Shocks</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/average-u-s-10-year-treasury-yield-performance-after-oil-shocks/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Mar 2026 09:31:11 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Average U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Performance After Oil Shocks Historically, sharp oil‑price spikes have often, but not always, been followed by weaker bond performance because higher energy costs push headline inflation and expectations of future inflation higher. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Equities and Wars</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/wars-sp-500-in-real-terms-and-u-s-cpi-inflation/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Mar 2026 09:30:39 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=67993</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Equities and Wars Some major geopolitical events have knocked U.S. stocks down 15% or more before. Is this time different? For now, markets look like they&#8217;re pricing in hope, not fear. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Purchasing Power of the U.S. Dollar (Measured by Inflation): Invested vs. Uninvested</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/purchasing-power-stocks-bonds-gold-cash-fiat-inflation-index/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Mar 2026 09:33:17 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=56224</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Purchasing Power of the U.S. Dollar (Measured by Inflation): Invested vs. Uninvested Gold hasn&#8217;t lost its glow, but U.S. stocks have shone brighter since 1928. Look far enough ahead, and the edge moves to assets that build value, not just store it. Over time, innovation compounds more powerfully than preservation. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Congressional Budget Office Forecast of 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/consensus-u-s-10-year-bond-yield-forecast/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Feb 2026 09:30:22 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=58444</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Congressional Budget Office Forecast of 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield The Congressional Budget Office sees the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield edging higher over the next few years as swelling federal debt puts upward pressure on borrowing costs. Deficits have a price. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Valuations &#8211; MSCI Index Market Capitalization Relative to M2</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/valuation-market-capitalization-of-stock-market-m2-money-supply/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Feb 2026 09:31:42 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Valuations &#8211; MSCI Index Market Capitalization Relative to M2 U.S. market capitalization has rocketed since late 2022, pushing valuations to levels that M2 growth can&#8217;t justify on its own. There&#8217;s more at play now than just liquidity. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Bitcoin vs. S&#038;P 500 Software Total Return</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/bitcoin-sp-500-futures-correlation/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2026 09:30:40 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Bitcoin vs. S&#38;P 500 Software Total Return Bitcoin has been trading hand in hand with U.S. software names. Its current drawdown may stick around for a while if the pressure on tech doesn&#8217;t ease. But when the mood shifts, don&#8217;t be surprised if Bitcoin snaps back fast. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond]]></description>
		
		
		
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