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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;conflict&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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	<description>Advanced Stock Market Forecast for Professional and Individual</description>
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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;conflict&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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		<title>Sentiment &#8211; Risk Appetite and Expected U.S. Equity Market Performance</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/risk-appetite-and-expected-u-s-equity-market-performance/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2026 08:30:56 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Sentiment &#8211; Risk Appetite and Expected U.S. Equity Market Performance Risk appetite among U.S. equity fund managers has taken a sharp hit in September, as the conflict in the Middle East fuels concerns about its economic fallout and the outlook for monetary and fiscal policy. Image: S&#38;P Global Market Intelligence]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Change in S&#038;P 500 Quarterly EPS Consensus</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/change-in-sp-500-current-quarter-consensus-eps-during-the-previous-quarter/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Aug 2026 08:30:02 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Change in Consensus 2026 S&#38;P 500 EPS S&#38;P 500 EPS forecasts for 2026 surged, with upward revisions accelerating after the U.S.–Iran conflict erupted, even as geopolitical and macro risks climbed. Image: Goldman Sachs FICC &#38; Equities]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield vs. Crude Oil (USO)</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/oil-prices-fair-value-as-a-function-of-the-u-s-dollar-and-global-growth/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Jul 2026 08:33:39 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield vs. Crude Oil (USO) Oil and yields have moved together since the Middle East conflict started in February. But that correlation often weakens once tensions cool. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Around Major Geopolitical Events Since 1939</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/performance-of-sp-500-around-the-first-late-cycle-rate-cut/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2026 08:31:45 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=10273</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Around Major Geopolitical Events Since 1939 The S&#38;P 500&#8217;s reaction to the Middle East conflict has shifted from one of the weakest after a geopolitical shock to one of the strongest, as investors moved past the selloff and priced in a lower risk of major disruption. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Citi Economic Surprises</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/citi-economic-surprise-index/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2026 08:30:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=27626</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Citi Economic Surprises The U.S. economy has held up better than its peers since the Middle East conflict escalated, as growth prospects elsewhere have dimmed, pushing investors toward the U.S. as the steadier bet. Image: TS Lombard]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>1-Month Rolling Correlation of 10-Year UST Yield Change and S&#038;P 500 Returns</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-correlation-with-bond-yields/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2026 08:30:04 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[1-Month Rolling Correlation of 10-Year UST Yield Change and S&#38;P 500 Returns Since the start of the Middle East conflict, U.S. Treasuries have struggled to play their traditional diversification role. The one-month rolling correlation between 10-year yields and equitie returns has sunk to a multi-decade low. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Retail Gasoline Price Change Between February 23 and April 27, 2026</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/wti-crude-oil-spot-price-and-retail-automotive-gasoline/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 May 2026 08:30:47 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=25785</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Retail Gasoline Price Change Between February 23 and April 27, 2026 The Middle East conflict is sending fuel costs soaring across Asia, with gasoline prices in Southeast Asia up 37% since the war began. In the U.S., prices have surged 42%, a sharp rise that is hard to ignore. Image: J.P. Morgan Commodities Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Global Economy &#8211; GDP Growth Projections</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/global-economy-gdp-growth-projections/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2026 08:30:55 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=31471</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Global Economy &#8211; GDP Growth Projections The IMF projects global growth at 3.1% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027. Robust tech investment, steady policy support, and a surprisingly flexible private sector are keeping momentum alive despite the Middle East conflict. Image: International Monetary Fund]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 and Prediction Market Odds of the End to the Iran Conflict</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/prediction-market-odds-of-u-s-corporate-tax-rate-in-2022/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Apr 2026 08:30:31 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=58881</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 and Prediction Market Odds of the End to the Iran Conflict U.S. stocks advanced as the geopolitical mood brightened. The S&#38;P 500 has followed every twist in expectations around the Iran conflict. Right now, sentiment is in the driver&#8217;s seat, not fundamentals. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Impact of U.S. Quarter-Over-Quarter Annualized GDP Growth</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-real-gdp-annualized-quarterly-growth-and-unemployment-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Apr 2026 08:30:15 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Impact of U.S. Quarter-Over-Quarter Annualized GDP Growth The boost from the 2025 fiscal bill may be short-lived, as the conflict in the Middle East drives oil prices higher and curbs U.S. growth prospects. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Index Returns In April</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-index-returns-in-april/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Apr 2026 08:32:31 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Index Returns In April Even with the Middle East conflict clouding the seasonal backdrop, April has historically been a strong month for U.S. equities, averaging positive returns since 1950. Image: Carson Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Difference between Front-End Brent Crude Oil Futures and 6-Month Brent Futures</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/inflationary-pressures-wti-crude-oil-futures/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Apr 2026 08:30:38 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=64326</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Difference between Front-End Brent Crude Oil Futures and 6-Month Brent Futures Markets are betting the Middle East conflict will be short‑lived. Oil futures signal tight near‑term supply but confidence that disruptions will fade quickly. But markets tend to price in calm faster than reality delivers. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Monthly Performance the Past 20 Years</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-monthly-performance-the-past-10-years/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Apr 2026 08:32:17 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=81870</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Monthly Performance the Past 20 Years This year&#8217;s conflict in the Middle East has clouded the outlook, but history still favors the bulls: April has rewarded U.S. stocks 80% of the time over the past two decades, as markets tend to climb the wall of worry this time of year. Image: Carson Investment&#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Brent Crude Oil Futures</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/brent-prices-forecast/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Mar 2026 08:30:35 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=26984</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Brent Crude Oil Futures Markets are betting the Middle East conflict won&#8217;t drag on, a view reflected in oil futures prices. The curve remains in backwardation, indicating tight near‑term supply but confidence that any disruption will prove short‑lived. Image: Alpine Macro]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>When Do You Expect a Ceasefire to Be Reached Between the U.S. and Iran?</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/when-do-you-expect-a-ceasefire-to-be-reached-between-the-u-s-and-iran/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Mar 2026 08:30:11 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=138674</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[When Do You Expect a Ceasefire to Be Reached Between the U.S. and Iran? Investors are largely treating the Middle East conflict as a temporary shock, with most expecting a U.S.-Iran ceasefire before the end of April. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Cash Allocation by Non-Bank Investors Globally</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/global-m2-ex-china-and-cash-allocation-by-non-bank-investors-globally/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Mar 2026 09:30:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=31972</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Cash Allocation by Non-Bank Investors Globally Non‑bank global investors are rotating out of stocks and bonds and into cash as the Middle East conflict‑related energy shock raises inflation fears and the risk of higher interest rates. Image: J.P. Morgan]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Net Bullish Sentiment vs. S&#038;P 500 Index</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/aaii-net-bullish-sentiment-vs-sp-500-index/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Mar 2026 09:33:32 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=67467</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Net Bullish Sentiment vs. S&#38;P 500 Index Investor sentiment has turned sharply risk‑averse in recent weeks, as the Middle East conflict and its potential spillovers have made markets more cautious about risk assets. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>Real S&#038;P 500 Index vs. Conflicts</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/real-sp-500-total-return-and-bear-markets/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Mar 2026 09:33:59 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=13722</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Real S&#38;P 500 Index vs. Conflicts Markets are quick to price in fear. The S&#38;P 500 usually dips when conflict erupts, but it often manages to recover its losses as long as demand and earnings remain strong. Short-term fear rarely changes the long-term story. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 and Crude Oil</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-around-1970s-oil-crisis/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Mar 2026 09:30:03 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=67356</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 and Crude Oil Since the conflict erupted in the Middle East, the S&#38;P 500 has been moving almost opposite to oil, showing a striking 91% inverse correlation. When crude rises, investors often worry about squeezed U.S. consumers and slower growth. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Inflation: 1970 vs. Today</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-equities-adjusted-for-inflation/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2026 09:32:49 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=98161</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Inflation: 1970 vs. Today The modern economy shows greater resilience to inflation pressures compared to the 1970s, but whether it avoids stagflation depends on how long the current geopolitical conflict lasts. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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