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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;drawdown&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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	<description>Advanced Stock Market Forecast for Professional and Individual</description>
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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;drawdown&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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		<title>Implied Probability of S&#038;P 500 Drawdown</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-drawdown-and-12-month-forward-p-e/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Sep 2026 08:30:51 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Implied Probability of S&#38;P 500 Drawdown Drawdown risk for the S&#38;P 500 has increased recently, amid rising yields, looming rate hikes, and weak market breadth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Equity Risk Indicator and S&#038;P 500</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/equity-risk-indicator-and-sp-500/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Sep 2026 08:32:11 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=19686</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Equity Risk Indicator and S&#38;P 500 The U.S. Equity Risk Indicator is flashing red, warning that the S&#38;P 500 may be running hot. History shows that once this metric hits extreme levels, significant equity drawdowns often follow. Image: BCA Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>PHLX Semiconductor Index Intra-Year Declines vs. Calendar Year Returns</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/cash-rolling-10-year-annualized-returns/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:30:13 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=62585</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[PHLX Semiconductor Index Intra-Year Declines vs. Calendar Year Returns Every year, the PHLX Semiconductor Index makes investors sit through an average 30% drawdown. But it has closed higher in 20 of the last 31 years. Welcome to the cost of long-term alpha in semis. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Index Max Pullback per Calendar Year</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-index-max-pullback-per-calendar-year/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Aug 2026 08:32:30 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=60103</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Index Max Pullback per Calendar Year March&#8217;s 9% pullback may already be the year&#8217;s deepest. If so, the market has less room for another major selloff. Back-to-back drawdowns of that size are rare, giving bulls a reason to stay optimistic. Image: Carson Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Annual vs. Intra-Year Returns</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-average-median-return-by-month/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Aug 2026 08:33:17 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=91028</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Annual vs. Intra-Year Returns Most years, the S&#38;P 500 gives up 5% to 10%. With March&#8217;s double-digit drop already in the books, the next move lower may be more modest. Back-to-back big drawdowns don’t happen often. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Drawdown from 52 Week High of Various Global Tech Sectors or Tech Sensitive Indices</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-dollar-and-sp-500-vs-msci-world-ex-u-s/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Jul 2026 08:30:50 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=20505</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Drawdown from 52 Week High of Various Global Tech Sectors or Tech Sensitive Indices Global tech and the usual tech‑sensitive indices are trading well below their 52‑week highs. This is the kind of year that follows a crowded AI trade, when investors finally see the bill for all that optimism. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Famous Market Bubbles: Peak-To-Trough Drawdowns</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/history-of-asset-bubbles-past-40-years/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Jul 2026 08:33:43 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=24361</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Famous Market Bubbles: Peak-To-Trough Drawdowns Major market bubbles rarely fade quietly. Losses can be severe, and getting back to even can take years, sometimes decades, as leverage unwinds, valuations reset, and confidence takes a hit. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Gold Drawdown from Its Trailing Previous Peak</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/gold-vs-short-term-treasury-yield/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Jul 2026 08:31:58 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=6168</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Gold Drawdown from Its Trailing Previous Peak Gold has just suffered one of its steepest pullbacks in more than a decade. The drop looks less like the start of a lasting reversal and more like a classic flush after a prolonged rally. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>The Math of Drawdowns &#8211; Recovery Requied to Break Even After a Portfolio Decline</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-drawdowns-since-2009-low/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Jun 2026 08:33:45 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=21399</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The Math of Drawdowns &#8211; Recovery Requied to Break Even After a Portfolio Decline Cut a portfolio in half and you need to double it to break even. That is not bad luck, it is simple compounding working against you. The bigger the loss, the tougher the climb back. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>After Narrow Market Leadership: Drawdowns in the Leading Sector</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-median-forward-eps-drawdowns/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2026 08:33:42 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=71532</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[After Narrow Market Leadership: Drawdowns in the Leading Sector Across decades, concentrated leadership has signaled fragile market health: when only a few sectors drive gains, weakening breadth tends to precede sharp declines. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Probability of S&#038;P 500 Drawdown / Rally</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/probability-of-sp-500-drawdown-rally/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2026 08:31:30 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=118608</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Probability of S&#38;P 500 Drawdown / Rally The rally has made U.S. equities a tougher trade. Upside now looks constrained, while the risk of a pullback is growing amid stretched valuations and a weakening macro backdrop. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Drawdowns from 52-Week High and the First Two Years of a New Fed Chair&#8217;s Term</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-index-drawdowns-from-2-year-highs/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2026 08:30:31 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=9327</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Drawdowns from 52-Week High and the First Two Years of a New Fed Chair&#8217;s Term Fed leadership changes don&#8217;t usually shake markets on their own. It&#8217;s the macro picture and prior positioning that set the tone. The shift only bites if it clashes with what markets were expecting in the first place. Image:&#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Bitcoin vs. S&#038;P 500 Software Total Return</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/bitcoin-sp-500-futures-correlation/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2026 09:30:40 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=65514</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Bitcoin vs. S&#38;P 500 Software Total Return Bitcoin has been trading hand in hand with U.S. software names. Its current drawdown may stick around for a while if the pressure on tech doesn&#8217;t ease. But when the mood shifts, don&#8217;t be surprised if Bitcoin snaps back fast. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Index Returns vs. Drawdowns in Midterm Election Years</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-drawdowns/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2026 09:32:18 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=11079</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Index Returns vs. Drawdowns in Midterm Election Years Midterm years often test Wall Street&#8217;s nerve. Since 1930, the S&#38;P 500 has typically fallen around 20% on average at some point, but those pullbacks have often marked the start of strong buying opportunities. Image: Ned Davis Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Bitcoin Drawdown</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/survey-bitcoin-price/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Feb 2026 09:30:50 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=41705</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Bitcoin Drawdown Volatility persists, but Bitcoin&#8217;s drop of more than 40% from its October peak looks more like a typical correction than a structural breakdown. In most markets that would be a crash; for Bitcoin, it&#8217;s business as usual Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Index Average Intra-Year Drawdown During Midterm Elections</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-drawdown-2/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Jan 2026 09:31:05 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=57954</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Index Average Intra-Year Drawdown During Midterm Elections Midterm years often shake confidence on Wall Street. The S&#38;P 500 usually slides 18% on average at some point during the year, but those downturns tend to open the door to compelling buying opportunities. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Asset Class Returns</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/asset-class-returns/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2025 08:30:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=64269</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Asset Class Returns Diversified portfolios demonstrated strong resilience during the U.S. stock market drawdowns in the first half of 2025 by cushioning losses and providing more stable returns. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>Median S&#038;P 500 Performance Around Drawdowns Close to or Larger than 20% Since 1950</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-drawdowns-2/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 May 2025 08:32:19 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=26372</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Median S&#38;P 500 Performance Around Drawdowns Close to or Larger than 20% Since 1950 In the absence of recession, short-lived market drawdowns are often followed by strong recoveries, offering attractive returns to investors who stay the course rather than selling in panic. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Average S&#038;P 500 Performance Around Drawdowns Close to or Larger than 20% Since 1950</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-performance-during-20-drawdowns-since-1950/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 May 2025 08:31:01 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=71521</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Average S&#038;P 500 Performance Around Drawdowns Close to or Larger than 20% Since 1950 U.S. equities have experienced one of the sharpest drawdowns in the past 75 years. Historically, such sharp declines are often followed by strong recoveries. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Drawdown and Insider Buying/Selling</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-equities-ratio-of-insider-sellers-to-buyers-and-long-term-average/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Apr 2025 08:31:25 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=48308</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#038;P 500 Drawdown and Insider Buying/Selling The Vickers insider sell/buy ratio, which tracks corporate insider transactions, indicates insiders perceive value at current price levels—a trend historically viewed as a bullish signal for market direction. Image: Fidelity Investments]]></description>
		
		
		
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