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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;economic&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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	<description>Advanced Stock Market Forecast for Professional and Individual</description>
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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;economic&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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		<title>Citi Economic Surprises</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/citi-economic-surprise-index/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2026 08:30:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Citi Economic Surprises The U.S. economy has held up better than its peers since the Middle East conflict escalated, as growth prospects elsewhere have dimmed, pushing investors toward the U.S. as the steadier bet. Image: TS Lombard]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/temporary-help-services-vs-real-gdp-and-u-s-recession/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2026 08:30:53 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs stand at -1.68% YoY in April. The relationship between Temporary Help Services jobs and the macroeconomy is complex. Declines in Temporary Help Services Jobs are often considered a leading indicator of a potential recession (red line at -3.5%), but they do&#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. New Private Housing Units Authorized by Building Permits and Recessions</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-new-private-housing-units-authorized-by-building-permits-and-recessions/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2026 08:30:24 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. New Private Housing Units Authorized by Building Permits and Recessions In March, U.S. building permits declined to 1.372 million, below expectations. Historically, building permits tend to peak and then decline prior to economic recessions. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Economic Forecasts</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/economic-forecasts/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2026 08:30:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=54500</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Economic Forecasts Deutsche Bank forecasts resilient US growth through 2026 and 2027, but expects core inflation to stay well above the Fed&#8217;s 2% target and unemployment at 4.4%. Resilient growth sounds good, but persistent inflation might complicate rate cuts. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Heavy Truck Sales and Recessions (Leading Indicator)</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-heavy-trucks-sales-vs-recessions/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Apr 2026 08:30:10 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=6231</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Heavy Truck Sales and Recessions (Leading Indicator) U.S. heavy truck sales slightly in March to 342K (annualized). Before recessions, heavy trucks sales tend to peak and then decline, providing insights into the overall health of the U.S. economy as a leading economic indicator. Click the Image to Enlarge]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Global Monetary Policy Stimulus and Global Manufacturing PMI</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/central-banks-global-monetary-policy-stimulus-leads-global-manufacturing-pmi/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Apr 2026 08:30:20 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=12772</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Global Monetary Policy Stimulus and Global Manufacturing PMI The dominant macro theme for 2026 remains a global growth rebound, powered by two years of aggressive monetary easing that have set the stage for renewed economic momentum worldwide. Image: Topdown Charts]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Dollar History vs. Neutral Value</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/net-of-fms-investors-saying-u-s-dollar-is-overvalued/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Mar 2026 09:33:28 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=71234</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Dollar History vs. Neutral Value Currency markets move more on expectations around interest rates, economic data, and geopolitics than on fundamentals. The U.S. dollar&#8217;s stabilization at neutral levels reflects Fed policy uncertainty and ongoing global tensions. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Global Equity Forward Earnings</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-earnings-3/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Mar 2026 09:30:13 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=68558</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Global Equity Forward Earnings Global earnings growth exceeding 15% is rare outside of post-recession recoveries or major economic booms. Right now, the backdrop for businesses is unusually strong. Image: Deutsche Bank Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Recession &#8211; Leading Economic Index (LEI) vs. U.S. GDP</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/recession-economic-output-composite-index-vs-lei/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Feb 2026 09:33:56 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=71698</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Recession &#8211; Leading Economic Index (LEI) vs. U.S. GDP A recession isn&#8217;t on the radar for 2026, but the Conference Board&#8217;s Leading Economic Index keeps sliding, hinting that growth could still lose steam this year. The coming months may reveal how resilient the U.S. economy really is. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>DM Manufacturing PMI vs. Global Central Bank Decision Index</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/central-bank-rate-cuts-lead-global-manufacturing-pmi/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Feb 2026 09:30:28 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=14826</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[DM Manufacturing PMI vs. Global Central Bank Decision Index This year&#8217;s key macro theme is a global growth rebound, fueled by two years of aggressive monetary easing that have set the stage for a fresh wave of economic momentum. Image: TS Lombard]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>U.S. and Global Economic Surprises</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/city-economic-surprise-index-u-s-economy-vs-global-economy/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Feb 2026 09:30:25 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=15240</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. and Global Economic Surprises Global economic surprises have surged to a two‑year high, with the U.S. gaining momentum, a mix that usually bodes well for stocks and credit in the near term. Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>U.S. M2 Money Supply</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-money-supply-m2-growth/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Jan 2026 09:33:10 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=31978</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. M2 Money Supply With M2 up 4.27% year on year, the money supply is lagging behind economic growth, pointing to cooling inflation rather than trouble. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Global Stocks &#8211; MSCI AC World Local Index</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/performance-msci-world-global-alternative-energy-stocks-vs-traditional-energy-stocks/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Jan 2026 09:30:38 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=33685</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Global Stocks &#8211; MSCI AC World Local Index Citigroup strategists are betting on a 10% rise in global equities this year, backed by a gentle economic slowdown, stronger earnings forecasts, and fresh AI tailwinds. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>U.S. Payrolls and Recessions</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/change-in-nonfarm-payrolls-and-average-payrolls-change-in-u-s-economic-cycle/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Jan 2026 09:30:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=20152</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Payrolls and Recessions U.S. payroll growth rarely dips this low without a recession. It slowed sharply in late 2025, but analysts expect a rebound this year as productivity gains, Fed rate cuts, and fiscal stimulus lift GDP growth. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<item>
		<title>S&#038;P 500 &#8211; U.S. Stock Returns Over the Past 22 Presidents</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-stock-returns-over-the-past-presidential-terms-starting-on-election-day/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Jan 2026 09:32:57 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=107306</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#038;P 500 &#8211; U.S. Stock Returns Over the Past 22 Presidents Nearly a year into Trump&#8217;s presidency, the S&#38;P 500 has surged more than 16%, shaking off tariff headwinds. Bulls are smiling, betting on robust earnings and solid economic data to keep the rally alive. Image: Carson Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>Valuation &#8211; S&#038;P 500 Index Long-Term P/E Ratio</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/forward-12-month-p-e-ratio-for-sp-500/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Dec 2025 09:30:59 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=46766</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Valuation &#8211; S&#38;P 500 Index Long-Term P/E Ratio The S&#38;P 500&#8217;s long-term P/E ratio has surged to record highs, leaving investors with little buffer against bad news and making the market more vulnerable to economic or policy headwinds. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>2026 Equity Forecasts</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-bull-base-bear-forecasts-for-june-2021/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Dec 2025 09:30:29 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=31021</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[2026 Equity Forecasts Goldman Sachs anticipates upside potential for global equities in 2026 amid a multipolar economic environment, while projecting modest underperformance for U.S. markets relative to international peers. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>U.S. Unemployment Rate and U.S. Heavy Trucks Sales (Leading Indicator)</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-unemployment-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Dec 2025 09:30:52 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=84605</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Unemployment Rate and U.S. Heavy Trucks Sales (Leading Indicator) Sales of U.S. heavy trucks tend to lead the economic cycle. When they drop, unemployment usually starts rising about six months later. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 and Fed Funds Target Rate</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/earnings-sp-500-net-income-growth-and-fed-funds-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2025 09:30:43 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=77411</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#038;P 500 and Fed Funds Target Rate When the Fed cuts rates outside of a recession, U.S. stocks typically perform well. However, a perceived &#8220;too dovish&#8221; cut, signaling excessive economic worry, could disrupt the ongoing year-end stock rally. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>ISM Composite Index vs. Recessions</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/ism-composite-index-vs-recessions/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Dec 2025 09:33:03 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=83638</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[ISM Composite Index vs. Recessions The economically weighted ISM composite paints a picture of moderation. Growth has cooled, not cracked. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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