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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;historical&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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	<description>Advanced Stock Market Forecast for Professional and Individual</description>
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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;historical&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
	<link>https://www.isabelnet.com</link>
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		<title>Truck Tonnage vs. S&#038;P 500 Index</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/truck-tonnage-vs-sp-500-index/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Jul 2026 08:32:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=5016</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Truck Tonnage vs. S&#38;P 500 Index The Truck Tonnage Index rose 0.1% in June. Trucks represent 72.7% of U.S. freight and serve as a barometer of the U.S. economy. This chart shows that, historically, the U.S. stock market has tended to increase in line with the physical size and expansion of the U.S. economy (R²&#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sentiment-indicator-and-stock-positioning/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jul 2026 08:31:15 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=24047</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning Goldman Sachs&#8217; U.S. equity sentiment indicator stands at 0.9, a level that has historically been followed by an average 1.1% gain in the S&#38;P 500 over the next month.. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Average Monthly Returns Since 1964</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-average-monthly-returns/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2026 08:33:50 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=7273</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Average Monthly Returns Since 1964 July has historically treated U.S. equities well, delivering average gains of 0.8% since 1964. If seasonality plays out again, bulls may have room to run through the summer before September, a month that has tended to disappoint. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Probability of U.S. Recession Over the Next 12 Months</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/probability-of-u-s-recession-over-the-next-12-months/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Jun 2026 08:30:11 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=76867</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Probability of U.S. Recession In the Next 1 Year The market is pricing in just an 11% chance of a US recession over the next year, while Goldman Sachs puts the odds closer to 25%, above the historical average. Is the market underpricing the risk? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Return During June</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/historically-june-is-one-of-the-weakest-months-of-the-year-for-us-stocks/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2026 08:32:23 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=5406</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Return During June June has a reputation for weakness in midterm years, but the last decade tells a different story: it closed higher in 9 out of 10 years, posting a median gain of 2.0%. That track record looks far stronger than the narrative suggests. Image: Carson Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Performance After Day 100 Is Up &gt;9% YTD</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-performance-after-day-100-is-up-9-ytd/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 May 2026 08:32:59 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=142464</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Performance After Day 100 Is Up &#62;9% YTD Momentum, once built, rarely fades quickly. When the S&#38;P 500 is up more than 9% by day 100, the rest of the year has historically delivered a median gain of 11.1% since 1950, keeping bulls smiling. Image: Carson Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Equities &#8211; Global Valuation Range</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/valuation-global-equities/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 May 2026 08:30:27 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=76819</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Equities &#8211; Global Valuation Range U.S. stocks carry a rich premium, while markets abroad sit closer to their historical ranges. The result is a global landscape where relative value is easier to find outside the U.S., though true bargains are still hard to come by. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Performance After Six Week Wins Streaks Up &gt;10%</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-performance-after-six-week-win-streaks-up-10/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 May 2026 08:32:01 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=141392</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Performance After Six Week Wins Streaks Up &#62;10% Six weeks up and more than 10% higher. Historically, that combination has been a tailwind for U.S. stocks, delivering average 12-month returns of 17.1% since 1950. It is exactly the kind of setup bulls like to see. Image: Carson Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Earnings Growth &#8211; Consensus vs. Historical Norms</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/earnings-sp-500-yoy-operating-eps-growth/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 May 2026 08:33:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=50232</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Earnings Growth &#8211; Consensus vs. Historical Norms Historically, S&#38;P 500 earnings have risen 6.5% annually. The 18.6% call for 2026 is more than twice that rate, and forecasts for 2027 still around 16%. That kind of optimism tends to look compelling right up until it doesn&#8217;t. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 1-Month Forward Returns Based On Sentiment Indicator Level</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/market-sentiment-indicator/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 May 2026 08:30:46 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=39913</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 1-Month Forward Returns Based On Sentiment Indicator Level Goldman Sachs&#8217; U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator sits at 1.7, a reading historically linked to an average 0.4% decline in the S&#38;P 500 over the next month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-equity-sentiment-indicator/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 May 2026 08:31:10 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=26229</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning At 1.7, Goldman Sachs&#8217; U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator looks stretched, a level that has historically been followed by an average -0.4% return in the S&#38;P 500 over the following month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Median Monthly Flow into Equity Mutual Funds and ETFs as a % of Total AUM</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/median-monthly-flow-into-equity-mutual-funds-and-etfs-as-a-of-total-aum/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 May 2026 08:30:38 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=55576</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Median Monthly Flow into Equity Mutual Funds and ETFs as a % of Total AUM Historically, May has been the month with the largest outflows from equity mutual funds and ETFs, hardly surprising given how frequently stocks lose momentum during the month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Valuation &#8211; MSCI World 12-Month Forward P/E</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/valuation-msci-world-12-month-forward-p-e/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 May 2026 08:31:09 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=26964</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Valuation &#8211; MSCI World 12-Month Forward PE With global equities trading at 18.5 times forward earnings, valuations look stretched by historical standards. Not a bubble, but far from cheap. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>WTI Oil Prices in Real Terms</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/the-cost-of-a-barrel-of-oil-in-real-u-s-dollar-terms/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 May 2026 08:30:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=28202</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[WTI Oil Prices in Real Terms The 2026 oil shock looks far less dramatic in historical terms. It still bites, just not with the same force. Once you adjust for inflation and reduced energy intensity, today&#8217;s price levels compare more favourably than in 2022. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Central Bank Gold Purchases</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/central-bank-asset-purchases-coming-back/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2026 08:33:49 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=12291</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Central Bank Gold Purchases Central bank gold buying eased to 863 tonnes in 2025 from 1,092 tonnes in 2024. Buying has cooled, but official-sector demand remains well above historical standards and continues to play a strategic role in reserve diversification. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. New Private Housing Units Authorized by Building Permits and Recessions</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-new-private-housing-units-authorized-by-building-permits-and-recessions/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2026 08:30:24 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=18883</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. New Private Housing Units Authorized by Building Permits and Recessions In March, U.S. building permits declined to 1.372 million, below expectations. Historically, building permits tend to peak and then decline prior to economic recessions. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. 10 Year Yield and S&#038;P 500</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/valuation-trailing-sp-500-p-e-ratio-vs-10-year-u-s-treasury-yield/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Apr 2026 08:30:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=67927</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. 10 Year Yield and S&#38;P 500 For equities, focus less on where rates are and more on how fast they&#8217;re moving. U.S. stocks have rarely shown a strong link to the absolute level of rates, even when those levels are high by historical standards. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Index Returns In April</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-index-returns-in-april/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Apr 2026 08:32:31 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=47830</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Index Returns In April Even with the Middle East conflict clouding the seasonal backdrop, April has historically been a strong month for U.S. equities, averaging positive returns since 1950. Image: Carson Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>Average U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Performance After Oil Shocks</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/average-u-s-10-year-treasury-yield-performance-after-oil-shocks/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Mar 2026 09:31:11 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=138504</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Average U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Performance After Oil Shocks Historically, sharp oil‑price spikes have often, but not always, been followed by weaker bond performance because higher energy costs push headline inflation and expectations of future inflation higher. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>S&#038;P 500 Index Single Day Average Returns</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-index-single-day-average-returns/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Mar 2026 09:32:13 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=38041</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Index Single Day Average Returns Saint Patrick&#8217;s Day is putting a smile on the bulls, as it&#8217;s not just one of the greenest days of the year but also historically the strongest for U.S. stocks in March, leaving bears short on luck. Happy Saint Patrick&#8217;s Day! 🍀☘ Image: Carson Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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