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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;negative rate&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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	<description>Advanced Stock Market Forecast for Professional and Individual</description>
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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;negative rate&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Index and Blended Forward EPS</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-blended-eps/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Aug 2025 08:30:41 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[S&#038;P 500 Index and Blended Forward EPS Citigroup strategists raised their year-end S&#38;P 500 target to 6,600 points, up from 6,300, expecting that tax cuts introduced in July 2025 will counterbalance the negative impact of tariffs on U.S. companies. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Probability of U.S. Recession</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/probability-of-u-s-recession-within-12-months/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Apr 2025 08:29:18 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Probability of U.S. Recession The rise in the one-year recession probability based on the S&#38;P 500 and BBB spread is seen as a negative sign, highlighting economic risks that could affect market sentiment and change investment strategies. Image: J.P. Morgan]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Fed Funds Target Rate</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-fed-funds-target-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Sep 2024 08:32:03 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Fed Funds Target Rate While &#8220;panic rate cuts&#8221; have historically been associated with negative market outcomes, the current context suggests that Wall Street may be embracing these cuts as necessary adjustments rather than signs of economic distress. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Bank Loan Flows</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/bank-loan-flows/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Aug 2024 08:30:00 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Bank Loan Flows The largest outflow from bank loan funds since March 2020 can be seen as a negative development and reflects negative investor sentiment. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Probability of Negative Returns, Based on S&#038;P 500 Total Returns from 1929-Present</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/probability-of-negative-returns-based-on-sp-500-total-returns-from-1929-present/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Jun 2024 08:30:16 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=39680</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Probability of Negative Returns, Based on S&#038;P 500 Total Returns from 1929-Present Extending the investment time horizon allows investors to minimize U.S. equity losses, navigate short-term market fluctuations, and leverage the long-term growth potential of equities. Image: BofA US Equity &#38; Quant Strategy]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Average Annualized 1-Month Real Total S&#038;P 500 Return and U.S. Unemployment Rate</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/average-annualized-1-month-real-total-sp-500-return-and-u-s-unemployment-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Jan 2024 09:31:30 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=78797</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Average Annualized 1-Month Real Total S&#038;P 500 Return and U.S. Unemployment Rate While a low U.S. unemployment rate is generally a positive indicator for the economy, very low unemployment rates can be seen as a negative for U.S. stocks. Image: BCA Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Federal Debt Held by the Public</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-federal-debt-held-by-the-public-2/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 16 Dec 2023 09:30:41 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Federal Debt Held by the Public The projected ballooning of the U.S. federal debt by 2050 could have negative impacts on the U.S. economy, with more interest payments, limited resources, and potential constraints on growth and government responsiveness. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Average Negative Sentiment Score YoY vs. Quarterly EPS YoY (Leading Indicator)</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-average-negative-sentiment-score-yoy-vs-quarterly-eps-yoy-leading-indicator/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Sep 2023 08:30:43 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Average Negative Sentiment Score YoY vs. Quarterly EPS YoY (Leading Indicator) The significant increase in corporate sentiment indicates a potential recovery in earnings, which is good news. Image: BofA Global Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Gold vs. 10-Year U.S. Real Rate</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/gold-vs-10-year-u-s-real-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Aug 2023 08:31:50 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Gold vs. 10-Year U.S. Real Rate Gold tends to be negatively correlated with U.S. real interest rates. Is gold at risk of price decline? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Valuation &#8211; S&#038;P 500 Forward P/E and U.S. 10-Year U.S. TIPS Yield</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/valuation-sp-500-forward-p-e-and-u-s-10-year-u-s-tips-yield/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Aug 2023 08:31:56 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Valuation &#8211; S&#38;P 500 Forward P/E and U.S. 10-Year U.S. TIPS Yield The S&#038;P 500 forward P/E multiple tends to be negatively impacted by higher real interest rates. Image: The Daily Shot]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Recession &#8211; 3-Month T-Bills Minus 12-Month CPI Inflation and 10-Year Treasury Rate Minus 12-Month CPI Inflation</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-recession-3-month-t-bills-minus-12-month-cpi-inflation-and-10-year-treasury-rate-minus-12-month-cpi-inflation/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Feb 2023 10:31:26 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Recession &#8211; 3-Month T-Bills Minus 12-Month CPI Inflation and 10-Year Treasury Rate Minus 12-Month CPI Inflation Historically, there has never been a recession in the United States with negative real interest rates. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Global Negative Yielding Debt</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/global-negative-yielding-debt/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Jan 2023 10:30:12 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Global Negative Yielding Debt The transition from $18 trillion to zero in negative-yielding debt over the past few years reflects a broader shift away from the era of ultra-low interest rates and easy monetary policy. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Daily Returns vs. U.S. 2-Year Daily Changes</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-daily-returns-vs-u-s-2-year-daily-changes/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Oct 2022 10:30:16 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Daily Returns vs. U.S. 2-Year Daily Changes Will the negative correlation between moves in the S&#38;P 500 and moves in rates persist? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>Rates &#8211; U.S. 10-Year Real Interest Rate</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/rates-u-s-10-year-real-interest-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2022 10:31:37 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=62382</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Rates &#8211; U.S. 10-Year Real Interest Rate How long will real U.S. 10-year interest rates remain negative? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Interest Rates &#8211; Global Rate Cuts vs. Global Rate Hikes</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/interest-rates-global-rate-cuts-vs-global-rate-hikes/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 16 Apr 2022 10:31:51 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Interest Rates &#8211; Global Rate Cuts vs. Global Rate Hikes Could global rate hikes have a significant negative impact on markets? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 24-Month Forward Dividend Yield vs. U.S. 10-Year Rates</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-24-month-forward-dividend-yield-vs-u-s-10-year-rates/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Mar 2022 10:30:57 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 24-Month Forward Dividend Yield vs. U.S. 10-Year Rates Negative real rates are still supporting U.S. equities. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Real U.S. Average Hourly Earnings and Recessions</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/real-u-s-average-hourly-earnings-and-recessions/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Mar 2022 11:30:00 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Real U.S. Average Hourly Earnings and Recessions Is a recession likely in the United States if real wage growth remains negative by summer? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Global Equities &#8211; MSCI ACWI vs. ISM New Orders</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/global-equities-msci-acwi-vs-ism-new-orders/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Feb 2022 11:30:53 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Global Equities &#8211; MSCI ACWI vs. ISM New Orders ISM new orders could suggest negative global equity returns. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>NY Empire Manufacturing Survey vs. S&#038;P 500 YoY</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/ny-empire-manufacturing-survey-vs-sp-500-yoy/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 22 Jan 2022 11:30:59 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[NY Empire Manufacturing Survey vs. S&#38;P 500 YoY The NY Empire Manufacturing Survey turns negative. This does not bode well for the S&#38;P 500. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>The Long-Term Correlation Between U.S. Stocks and U.S. Interest Rates</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/the-long-term-correlation-between-u-s-stocks-and-u-s-interest-rates/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Nov 2021 11:31:45 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=62417</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The Long-Term Correlation Between U.S. Stocks and U.S. Interest Rates Rising interest rates tend to have a negative effect on earnings and the stock market. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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