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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;pullback&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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	<description>Advanced Stock Market Forecast for Professional and Individual</description>
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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;pullback&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Annual vs. Intra-Year Returns</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-average-median-return-by-month/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2026 08:33:17 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=91028</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Annual vs. Intra-Year Returns The S&#38;P 500 typically posts a 5% to 10% pullback at least once a year. With March already delivering a double-digit decline, the next dip may be more contained. Markets rarely take two big hits in quick succession. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Sentiment &#8211; Risk Appetite and Expected U.S. Equity Market Performance</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/risk-appetite-and-expected-u-s-equity-market-performance/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 08:30:56 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=77559</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Sentiment &#8211; Risk Appetite and Expected U.S. Equity Market Performance Risk appetite among U.S. equity fund managers remains positive but has cooled, with many bracing for a June pullback and only modest gains through year-end as concerns over higher interest rates and recession risks build. Image: S&#38;P Global Market Intelligence]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 and Market Breadth Streaks</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/market-breadth-index/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2026 08:30:03 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=92074</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 and Market Breadth Streaks The S&#38;P 500 may be printing new highs, but the rally lacks broad participation. Weak breadth like this tends to point to underlying weakness and leaves the market more exposed to a pullback. Image: Hi Mount Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Implied Probability of S&#038;P 500 Drawdown</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-drawdown-and-12-month-forward-p-e/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 May 2026 08:31:51 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=26509</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Implied Probability of S&#38;P 500 Drawdown The rally has made U.S. equities harder to chase. Upside looks limited, while the risk of a pullback is building as valuations stretch. The risk-reward now looks less compelling. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Net Margin Debt</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-equities-margin-debt-since-1960/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 May 2026 08:30:47 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=48325</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Net Margin Debt U.S. margin debt is hovering near record highs. That level of borrowing reflects strong risk appetite, but it also leaves the market more exposed to sharp pullbacks if stocks slide and leveraged investors rush to cut positions. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Pullbacks and Returns a Year Off the Lows for the S&#038;P 500 Index Based on the 4-Year Presidential Cycle</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/pullbacks-and-returns-a-year-off-the-lows-for-the-sp-500-index-based-on-the-4-year-presidential-cycle/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 18 May 2026 08:32:39 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=69426</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Pullbacks and Returns a Year Off the Lows for the S&#38;P 500 Index Based on the 4-Year Presidential Cycle Since 1950, midterm years have been the sharpest swoon of the presidential cycle, with the S&#38;P 500 falling 17.5% on average. The flip side is striking: one year after the low, stocks have been consistently higher,&#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Probability of S&#038;P 500 Drawdown / Rally</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/probability-of-sp-500-drawdown-rally/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2026 08:31:30 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=118608</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Probability of S&#38;P 500 Drawdown / Rally The rally has made U.S. equities a tougher trade. Upside now looks constrained, while the risk of a pullback is growing amid stretched valuations and a weakening macro backdrop. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 and Three Weeks of +3% Gains in a Row</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-index-pullback/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Apr 2026 08:30:15 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=64172</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 and Three Weeks of +3% Gains in a Row The S&#38;P 500 notched a third straight week of gains above 3%. Moves like this usually show up in snapback rallies after panic selling, not when stocks are hovering at record highs. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Mega-Cap Growth &#038; Tech (Market Cap and Earnings)</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/mega-cap-growth-and-tech-earnings/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Apr 2026 08:30:03 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=63731</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Mega-Cap Growth &#38; Tech (Market Cap and Earnings) The tech pullback has left a bigger disconnect from earnings expectations. Once the mood shifts, risk appetite could roar back and drive stocks sharply higher. Fundamentals haven&#8217;t changed much, just the mood. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Index Max Pullback per Calendar Year</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-index-max-pullback-per-calendar-year/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Mar 2026 08:32:30 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=60103</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Index Max Pullback per Calendar Year Markets are never a straight ride up. Since 1980, the S&#38;P 500 has averaged double‑digit gains while dropping roughly 14% each year. Volatility is simply the cost of long-term reward. Image: Carson Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>VIX vs. S&#038;P 500</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/vix-vs-sp-500-2/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Mar 2026 09:30:22 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=83713</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[VIX vs. S&#38;P 500 Compared with past oil shocks, the S&#38;P 500&#8217;s drop looks measured. Investors seem braced for short-term turbulence rather than a structural shift in sentiment. The pullback feels more like caution than panic. Image: BCA Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Return Around 7 Major Geopolitical Risk Events</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-price-returns-in-periods-of-elevated-geopolitical-uncertainty/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Mar 2026 09:31:06 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=66749</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Return Around 7 Major Geopolitical Risk Events The S&#38;P 500&#8217;s 5% slide from its January peak mirrors the market&#8217;s typical pullback after major geopolitical shocks. Many investors see the turbulence as temporary, betting that history&#8217;s pattern of quick recoveries will hold. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Return Around Geopolitical Risk Events</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-total-return-attribution/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Mar 2026 09:31:51 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=33543</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Return Around Geopolitical Risk Events The latest moves in the S&#38;P 500 recall how markets have historically absorbed geopolitical risks: brief pullbacks followed by rebounds, often back to pre-shock levels in roughly a month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Index Returns vs. Drawdowns in Midterm Election Years</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-drawdowns/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2026 09:32:18 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=11079</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Index Returns vs. Drawdowns in Midterm Election Years Midterm years often test Wall Street&#8217;s nerve. Since 1930, the S&#38;P 500 has typically fallen around 20% on average at some point, but those pullbacks have often marked the start of strong buying opportunities. Image: Ned Davis Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Household Equity Ownership vs. S&#038;P 500 Index</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-household-equity-ownership-as-of-net-worth-vs-sp-500/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2025 09:33:12 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=58755</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Household Equity Ownership vs. S&#38;P 500 Index U.S. households have never been this heavily invested in stocks. The higher the concentration, the greater the risk that a market pullback hits both confidence and consumption, reversing wealth effects. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Real S&#038;P 500 Index</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-real-index-vs-exponential-growth-trend/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Dec 2025 09:33:41 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=65124</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Real S&#038;P 500 Index The current market cycle still feels incomplete. After strong rallies, markets often retreat to test previous highs. That pullback, though painful, often clears the air and sets up the next move higher. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Index Peak-to-Trough During a Midterm Year</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/returns-sp-500-index-pullbacks-during-a-midterm-year/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Nov 2025 09:32:20 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=67177</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#038;P 500 Index Peak-to-Trough During a Midterm Year Midterm years often bring large pullbacks — but history says don&#8217;t panic. Since 1950, every midterm-year bottom in U.S. stocks has been followed by a powerful rebound, averaging gains of more than 30% over the next 12 months. Image: Carson Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Nasdaq 100 Index and 200-Day Moving Average</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/nasdaq-100-and-65-day-rolling-change/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2025 09:30:58 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=40092</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Nasdaq 100 Index and 200-Day Moving Average The Nasdaq 100 keeps ripping higher, but its widening gap from the 200-day average is starting to blink red for a possible 5%–10% pullback. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Valuation &#8211; S&#038;P 500 Median P/E Ratio</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/valuation-sp-500-forward-pe-ratio/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Oct 2025 08:30:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=21643</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Valuation &#8211; S&#38;P 500 Median P/E Ratio The S&#38;P 500&#8217;s median P/E ratio sits at 26.2—a level that leaves stocks looking pricey and raises the odds of thinner returns or a valuation pullback if history is any guide. Image: Ned Davis Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<item>
		<title>The 2009 S&#038;P 500 Bull Market Compared With This One</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-compared-to-normalized-sp-500-in-1974-and-1982/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Oct 2025 08:32:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=71398</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The 2009 S&#038;P 500 Bull Market Compared With This One No market cycle is identical, but the S&#38;P 500&#8217;s path since 2022 looks like a remix of the 2009–2020 bull market—same mid‑cycle pullback, same setup for another leg higher, much to the bulls&#8217; delight. Image: Carson Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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