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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;rate cut&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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	<description>Advanced Stock Market Forecast for Professional and Individual</description>
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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;rate cut&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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		<title>Gold Futures</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/growth-in-gold-price-and-central-bank-balance-sheets/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Jun 2026 08:30:56 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Gold Futures Gold&#8217;s 2026 gains have evaporated as sentiment flipped from rate cuts to higher-for-longer expectations. A stronger U.S. dollar is adding pressure, while forced selling to cover losses elsewhere is accelerating the selloff. Image: The Daily Shot]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Around Major Geopolitical Events Since 1939</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/performance-of-sp-500-around-the-first-late-cycle-rate-cut/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2026 08:31:45 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Around Major Geopolitical Events Since 1939 The S&#38;P 500&#8217;s reaction to the Middle East conflict has shifted from one of the weakest after a geopolitical shock to one of the strongest, as investors moved past the selloff and priced in a lower risk of major disruption. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Returns for Major Global Financial Assets</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/total-return-performance-of-major-global-financial-assets-ytd/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 May 2026 08:30:38 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Returns for Major Global Financial Assets April was a standout month for the S&#38;P 500, which surged 10.5%, even as U.S. Treasuries came under pressure amid rising inflation concerns and fading hopes for Fed rate cuts. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Economic Forecasts</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/economic-forecasts/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2026 08:30:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Economic Forecasts Deutsche Bank forecasts resilient US growth through 2026 and 2027, but expects core inflation to stay well above the Fed&#8217;s 2% target and unemployment at 4.4%. Resilient growth sounds good, but persistent inflation might complicate rate cuts. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Interest Rates &#8211; Market Pricing for the Number of Fed Rate Cuts</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/interest-rates-market-pricing-for-the-number-of-fed-rate-hikes/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Mar 2026 09:31:09 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Interest Rates &#8211; Market Pricing for the Number of Fed Rate Cuts Markets have sharply repriced the Fed path. Investors shouldn&#8217;t see &#8220;no rate cuts before 2027&#8221;, but they should recognize that the hurdle for 2026 easing has risen significantly. Cuts aren&#8217;t off the table, just harder to justify now. Image: The Daily Shot]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>DM Manufacturing PMI vs. Global Central Bank Decision Index</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/central-bank-rate-cuts-lead-global-manufacturing-pmi/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Feb 2026 09:30:28 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=14826</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[DM Manufacturing PMI vs. Global Central Bank Decision Index This year&#8217;s key macro theme is a global growth rebound, fueled by two years of aggressive monetary easing that have set the stage for a fresh wave of economic momentum. Image: TS Lombard]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Performance Around First Fed Rate Cut</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-market-odds-of-a-fourth-fed-rate-cut/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jan 2026 09:31:59 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[S&#038;P 500 Performance Around First Fed Rate Cut When the economy stays firm, Fed rate cuts have a history of boosting stocks and the S&#38;P 500&#8217;s current run is no exception. Image: TS Lombard]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Fed Funds Rate and Fed Funds Futures</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/fed-funds-rate-and-fed-funds-futures/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Jan 2026 09:30:53 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate and Fed Funds Futures Lower tariff rates and a dovish shift at the Fed could set the stage for rate cuts below 3.5% by year‑end, assuming inflation keeps drifting toward target and growth stays soft. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Payrolls and Recessions</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/change-in-nonfarm-payrolls-and-average-payrolls-change-in-u-s-economic-cycle/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Jan 2026 09:30:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=20152</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Payrolls and Recessions U.S. payroll growth rarely dips this low without a recession. It slowed sharply in late 2025, but analysts expect a rebound this year as productivity gains, Fed rate cuts, and fiscal stimulus lift GDP growth. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>Average Global Policy Rate</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/global-monetary-policy-rates/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Jan 2026 09:30:05 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Average Global Policy Rate Global central banks moved decisively into rate‑cutting mode through 2025, with analysts expecting further, though more measured, easing in 2026, particularly in the United States. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Amount of Fed Rate Cuts Priced by End of Year</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/fed-funds-pricing-by-fomc-meeting/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Jan 2026 09:30:08 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Amount of Fed Rate Cuts Priced by End of Year Traders are sticking to expectations for two 25-basis-point cuts in 2026, even as Fed projections reveal deep splits. The easing drive has lost some steam, but the cycle isn’t done yet. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Budget Deficit as a % of GDP</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-budget-deficit-as-a-of-gdp/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 2025 09:30:01 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=46587</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Budget Deficit as a % of GDP The U.S. administration&#8217;s strong interest in rate cuts is largely driven by the need to make financing the enormous deficit more sustainable. By lowering rates, the government can reduce borrowing costs and ease the budgetary pressure. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>Fed Funds Rate &#8211; Target Probabilities at the Fed&#8217;s FOMC Meeting</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/target-probabilities-at-the-feds-fomc-meeting/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Dec 2025 09:30:14 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=9963</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate &#8211; Target Probabilities at the Fed&#8217;s FOMC Meeting Traders aren&#8217;t betting heavily on a Fed rate cut at the January 28, 2026 FOMC meeting, with markets pricing in just an 18.8% chance of a 25 bps reduction. Image: CME Group]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>S&#038;P 500 and Fed Funds Target Rate</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/earnings-sp-500-net-income-growth-and-fed-funds-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2025 09:30:43 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=77411</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#038;P 500 and Fed Funds Target Rate When the Fed cuts rates outside of a recession, U.S. stocks typically perform well. However, a perceived &#8220;too dovish&#8221; cut, signaling excessive economic worry, could disrupt the ongoing year-end stock rally. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Fed Funds Rate &#8211; 2026 Year-End Rate Levels Expectations</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/fed-funds-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2025 09:30:39 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=74341</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate &#8211; 2026 Year-End Rate Levels Expectations Deutsche Bank&#8217;s latest poll of 40 global market participants shows expectations for the fed funds rate at end-2026 anchored near 3.2%, regardless of whether Powell keeps rates unchanged or opts for a 25-basis-point cut today. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Treasury Index &#8211; Annual Return</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-treasury-index-one-year-return/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Dec 2025 09:30:15 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Treasury Index &#8211; Annual Return U.S. Treasuries are on track for their strongest annual performance since 2020, lifted by Fed rate cuts and a cooling labor market that is fueling bets on more monetary easing. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Median S&#038;P 500 Performance After Fed Cuts Rates</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/performance-of-sp-500-around-the-first-rate-cut/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Dec 2025 09:31:10 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=10267</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Median S&#38;P 500 Performance After Fed Cuts Rates The S&#38;P 500 has typically rallied about 50% in the two years after the Fed begins cutting rates. But when those cuts hit during recessions, those gains often don&#8217;t last. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Median U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Performance in Fed Rate Cuts Cycles</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/10y-3m-treasury-yield-spread-after-first-rate-cut-and-recessions/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Dec 2025 09:30:57 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=13883</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Median U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Performance in Fed Rate Cuts Cycles Fed rate cuts usually pull short-term yields lower, but long Treasury bonds don&#8217;t always fall in line. Inflation expectations, shifting bets on future policy, or a flood of new debt can just as easily push them higher. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>S&#038;P 500 Performance Around First Fed Cut</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-index-price-average-before-and-after-initial-fed-rate-cut/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Dec 2025 09:31:22 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=7712</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#038;P 500 Performance Around First Fed Cut Fed easing sounds bullish, but not when growth cracks. In recessions, U.S. stocks have often fallen despite cheaper money. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>Market Pricing of Fed Rate Cuts</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/market-pricing-of-fed-rate-cuts/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Dec 2025 09:30:54 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=85455</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Market Pricing of Fed Rate Cuts Traders are increasingly confident the Fed will cut rates at the December 10, 2025 FOMC meeting, pricing in an 86% chance of a quarter-point move and just a 23% likelihood of another cut in January 2026. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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