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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;trade war&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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	<description>Advanced Stock Market Forecast for Professional and Individual</description>
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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;trade war&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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		<title>U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator &#8211; S&#038;P 500</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-stock-market-bull-and-bear-indicator/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 08:34:40 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator &#8211; S&#38;P 500 Last Friday, our Stock Market Bull &#38; Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell, and the S&#38;P 500 followed through, ending the day up 0.17%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the&#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/valuation-sp-500-next-twelve-months-p-e-multiple/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Sep 2026 08:30:45 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History Risk appetite is firmly intact. The Russell 2000 trades at 24 times forward earnings, above the Nasdaq 100 at 23 times and the S&#38;P 500 at 19 times. Valuations look stretched, but money keeps chasing stocks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Valuation &#8211; S&#038;P 500 NTM P/E</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/valuation-sp-500-ntm-p-e/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Aug 2026 08:30:55 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Valuation &#8211; S&#38;P 500 NTM P/E The S&#38;P 500 equal-weight index trades at 16 times forward earnings, versus 20 times for the benchmark. It is hardly cheap, but the discount makes it look more attractive. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Indexed Returns of AI-Related Portfolios vs. Equal-Weight S&#038;P 500</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/indexed-return-of-fangmat-vs-the-field/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Aug 2026 08:31:12 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Indexed Returns of AI-Related Portfolios vs. Equal-Weight S&#38;P 500 The AI rally has largely been an infrastructure trade, rewarding chipmakers, data-center builders and cloud platforms, while leaving software and productivity stocks behind. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Large Cap MCG &#038; Tech Positioning vs. Earnings Revisions</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-earnings-revisions-breadth-3/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Aug 2026 08:30:56 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Large Cap MCG &#38; Tech Positioning vs. Earnings Revisions Large-cap tech companies have seen upward earnings revisions, but positioning remains only modestly overweight at the 54th percentile. That gap to fundamentals leaves some air for a catch-up trade. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Index vs. 40-Week Moving Average</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-index-vs-200-and-40-week-moving-averages/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Jun 2026 08:33:45 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=82771</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 Index vs. 40-Week Moving Average The 40-week moving average offers a straightforward way to manage S&#38;P 500 exposure. Add risk when the index trades above it. Trim risk when it falls below. Process matters more than panic. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Valuation &#8211; S&#038;P 500 Forward P/E</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/valuation-sp-500-forward-p-e/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2026 08:31:05 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Valuation &#8211; S&#38;P 500 Forward P/E Valuations have cooled sharply: the Mag 7 now trades at 25 times forward earnings, down from January&#8217;s lofty 31. Still pricey, sure. But in today&#8217;s market, it&#8217;s the best game in town, especially next to the other 493 stocks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 at the Start of a Presidential Term</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-index-and-recessions/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Feb 2026 09:30:15 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[S&#38;P 500 at the Start of a Presidential Term The S&#38;P 500 experienced its worst start to a U.S. presidential term in decades after the president&#8217;s inauguration on January 20, 2025. Hopes tied to tax cuts and deregulation faded fast as trade-war fears took center stage. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Markets &#8211; Average Daily Change: SPY, TLT, LQD, HYG, IBIT</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/daily-change-in-sp-500-forward-eps/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Jan 2026 09:30:54 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Markets &#8211; Average Daily Change: SPY, TLT, LQD, HYG, IBIT Is &#8220;Sell America&#8221; becoming the new market mantra? Europe could rattle investors if it strikes back with tariffs and its own trade bazooka. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Equities &#8211; 12-Month Forward P/E Ratio and Share Prices</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/valuation-u-s-growth-stocks-12-month-forward-p-e/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Jul 2025 08:31:24 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Equities &#8211; 12-Month Forward P/E Ratio and Share Prices Market optimism is fueled by hopes of resolving trade and geopolitical risks, but high S&#38;P 500 valuations increase vulnerability. Without resolution or robust earnings growth, the risk of a market pullback rises. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Share of U.S. Corporate Profits from Foreign Markets</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/share-of-u-s-corporate-profits-from-foreign-markets/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Jul 2025 08:30:41 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Share of U.S. Corporate Profits from Foreign Markets Foreign markets account for 13% of US corporate profits, while emerging markets contribute 4%. Yet, trade uncertainties and recent tariffs may threaten these contributions moving forward. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>S&#038;P 500 Equity Risk Premium</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sp-500-equity-risk-premium-and-long-term-average/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Jun 2025 08:31:23 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[S&#038;P 500 Equity Risk Premium With the U.S. equity risk premium at historically low levels, equity investors face a more challenging environment, as the risk-reward trade-off is less attractive than before. Image: The Daily Shot]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Valuation &#8211; U.S. Equities vs. Rest of World &#8211; 12-Month Forward PE Ratios</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/valuation-sp-500-index-and-forward-p-e-ratio/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 May 2025 08:31:50 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Valuation &#8211; U.S. Equities vs. Rest of World &#8211; 12-Month Forward PE Ratios U.S. equities trade at historically high valuations versus global peers, with the premium widening. While strong fundamentals support this, it also poses risks if growth expectations decline or macroeconomic conditions worsen. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Trade Policy Uncertainty</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/trade-war-hitting-global-trade-hard/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 May 2025 08:29:49 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Trade Policy Uncertainty When trade policy uncertainty peaks, the S&#38;P 500 often posts positive returns. Markets tend to over-discount risks during uncertain periods, and relief rallies are common once worst-case scenarios are avoided or resolved. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Two-day Performance for the S&#038;P 500</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/seasonality-sp-500-annual-performance/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2025 08:29:17 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Two-day Performance for the S&#38;P 500 The two-day decline of 10.5% in the S&#38;P 500 last Thursday and Friday marked its fifth-worst drop since World War II. The turmoil is likely to persist as long as there are no concrete signs of tariff reductions or de-escalation in trade tensions. Image: Deutche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>What Investors Consider the Biggest Risk to Markets Right Now</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/biggest-downside-risk-to-the-u-s-dollar-over-the-next-6-months/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Mar 2025 09:29:40 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[What Investors Consider the Biggest Risk to Markets Right Now The risk of a trade war triggering a global recession is a pressing concern for investors, as it threatens economic growth, financial stability, and market confidence. Image: Yahoo Finance]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Valuation &#8211; Bloomberg Magnificent Seven Price Return Index &#8211; BEst P/E Ratio</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/stocks-will-the-magnificent-seven-continue-to-outperform-this-year/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Mar 2025 09:29:24 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=92970</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Valuation &#8211; Bloomberg Magnificent Seven Price Return Index &#8211; BEst P/E Ratio During the recent market selloff, valuations of major tech companies have plummeted from their previous highs. Many traders believe the downward trend may continue, a sentiment supported by recent historical patterns. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD)</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/euro-to-u-s-dollar-eur-usd-5/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 25 Jan 2025 09:29:09 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) The euro has shown strength this week, but caution is warranted. Potential shifts in U.S. trade policy under Trump and ongoing economic disparities continue to give the dollar an edge. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Tech Stocks vs. China Tech Stocks</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-tech-stocks-vs-china-tech-stocks/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Dec 2024 09:30:10 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=82823</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Tech Stocks vs. China Tech Stocks As the U.S. market experiences an AI frenzy, China&#8217;s major technology stocks struggle, reflecting investor pessimism towards China&#8217;s economic revival efforts and concerns about AI monetization and trade restrictions. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Small Cap Stocks &#8211; Forward 12-Month Price/Earnings Ratio and S&#038;P 600 Relative to S&#038;P 500</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/small-cap-stocks-forward-12-month-price-earnings-ratio-and-sp-600-relative-to-sp-500/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Oct 2022 09:30:51 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Small Cap Stocks &#8211; Forward 12-Month Price/Earnings Ratio and S&#038;P 600 Relative to S&#038;P 500 Should investors favor U.S. small-cap stocks, as they trade at a discount relative to the S&#38;P 500? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management]]></description>
		
		
		
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