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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;unemployment rate&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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	<description>Advanced Stock Market Forecast for Professional and Individual</description>
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	<title>Search Results for &#8220;unemployment rate&#8221; &#8211; ISABELNET</title>
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		<title>Economic Forecasts</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/economic-forecasts/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2026 08:30:21 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Economic Forecasts Deutsche Bank forecasts resilient US growth through 2026 and 2027, but expects core inflation to stay well above the Fed&#8217;s 2% target and unemployment at 4.4%. Resilient growth sounds good, but persistent inflation might complicate rate cuts. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Impact of U.S. Quarter-Over-Quarter Annualized GDP Growth</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-real-gdp-annualized-quarterly-growth-and-unemployment-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Apr 2026 08:30:15 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Impact of U.S. Quarter-Over-Quarter Annualized GDP Growth The boost from the 2025 fiscal bill may be short-lived, as the conflict in the Middle East drives oil prices higher and curbs U.S. growth prospects. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Unemployment Rate and Recessions</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-unemployment-rate-since-1890/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Mar 2026 09:33:39 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Unemployment Rate and Recessions The unemployment rate moving above its three-year average has preceded every U.S. recession since 1950. The latest crossover came in June 2024. Since then, no recession has followed, raising questions if this time is different. Image: Real Investment Advice]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Unemployment Rate Forecast</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-unemployment-rate-forecast-4/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Mar 2026 09:30:28 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Unemployment Rate Softer growth is set to nudge joblessness higher, with U.S. unemployment seen near 4.6% by year‑end and closer to 4.9% under a harsher oil shock scenario. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Fed Funds Rate vs. Gasoline Price / Core CPI</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/federal-funds-rate-and-u-s-unemployment-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Mar 2026 09:30:22 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate vs. Gasoline Price / Core CPI When gasoline prices rise faster than inflation and move in step with growth, the Fed tends to lift rates. But what is the determining factor this time: strong demand or deep strain? It&#8217;s clearly the latter. Image: TS Lombard]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Unemployment Rate and U.S. Heavy Trucks Sales (Leading Indicator)</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-unemployment-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Dec 2025 09:30:52 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Unemployment Rate and U.S. Heavy Trucks Sales (Leading Indicator) Sales of U.S. heavy trucks tend to lead the economic cycle. When they drop, unemployment usually starts rising about six months later. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Sahm Rule Recession Indicator &#8211; U.S. Unemployment Rate</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/sahm-rule-recession-indicator-u-s-unemployment-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jun 2025 08:30:57 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Sahm Rule Recession Indicator &#8211; U.S. Unemployment Rate A drop in the Sahm Rule indicator below 0.5 is a positive sign, as it suggests the rule is not currently signaling a U.S. recession—a generally reassuring indicator for economic health. Image: Bloomberg]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. NonFarm Employment Annual Growth</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-nonfarm-payroll-employment-and-u3-unemployment-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Jun 2025 08:32:37 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. NonFarm Employment Annual Growth The YOY job growth rate of 1.1% is a warning sign, as similar levels have coincided with periods just before or during recessions since 1950, supporting the case for the Fed to consider easing monetary policy soon. Image: Paulsen Perspectives]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Presidential Approval Rating vs. Consumer Confidence</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-presidential-approval-rating-vs-unemployment-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2025 08:29:39 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Presidential Approval Rating vs. Consumer Confidence Trump&#8217;s approval exceeds Biden&#8217;s late-term lows, but deteriorating consumer confidence&#8217;s predictive power signals substantial downside risk as economic anxieties translate into political consequences. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>University of Michigan Survey &#8211; Consumer Who Expect Higher Unemployment over the Next 12 Months</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-index-leads-u-s-unemployment-rate-2/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Apr 2025 08:29:45 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[University of Michigan Survey &#8211; Consumer Who Expect Higher Unemployment over the Next 12 Months The latest University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers indicate that a significantly higher share of Americans now expect unemployment to rise over the next year, reaching the highest level since 2009. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Annual U.S. Payroll Employment Growth in the Month Before Each Post-War Recession</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/rise-in-the-unemployment-rate-during-post-wwii-u-s-recessions/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Mar 2025 09:31:23 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Annual U.S. Payroll Employment Growth in the Month Before Each Post-War Recession The recent slowdown in U.S. job creation is concerning, as it nears levels typically seen before economic downturns. Image: Paulsen Perspectives]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>U.S. Labor Market &#8211; Unemployment Rate and Consumer Confidence Survey: Jobs &#8220;Plentiful&#8221; Minus Jobs &#8220;Hard to Get&#8221;</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-labor-market-permanent-unemployment-rate-and-consumer-confidence-survey-jobs-plentiful-minus-jobs-hard-to-get/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Oct 2024 08:30:51 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Labor Market &#8211; Unemployment Rate and Consumer Confidence Survey: Jobs &#8220;Plentiful&#8221; Minus Jobs &#8220;Hard to Get&#8221; Shifts in consumer perceptions regarding job availability suggest notable changes that could potentially lead to a rise in the U.S. unemployment rate. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>NFIB Small Business Availability Loans vs. U.S. Initial Jobless Claims</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/nfib-small-business-availability-loans-vs-u-s-initial-jobless-claims/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Sep 2024 08:30:41 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[NFIB Small Business Availability Loans vs. U.S. Initial Jobless Claims When interest rates are high, weak credit conditions can greatly affect the economy, potentially resulting in increased unemployment. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
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		<title>U.S. Unemployment Rate</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/the-us-unemployment-rate-since-1890/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Jul 2024 08:30:08 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Unemployment Rate Technical analysis suggests an upside risk to the U.S. unemployment rate in the second half of 2024, indicating potential challenges in sustaining job growth and stability in the labor market. Image: BofA Global Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Average Annualized 1-Month Real Total S&#038;P 500 Return and U.S. Unemployment Rate</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/average-annualized-1-month-real-total-sp-500-return-and-u-s-unemployment-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Jan 2024 09:31:30 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Average Annualized 1-Month Real Total S&#038;P 500 Return and U.S. Unemployment Rate While a low U.S. unemployment rate is generally a positive indicator for the economy, very low unemployment rates can be seen as a negative for U.S. stocks. Image: BCA Research]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Unemployment Rate Forecast</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-unemployment-rate-forecast-3/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Jan 2024 09:30:16 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Unemployment Rate Forecast According to Deutsche Bank, a mild recession in the United States may result in a modestly higher unemployment rate than what is anticipated by both consensus and the Federal Reserve. Image: Deutsche Bank]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Core CPI vs. Unemployment Rate When Fed First Cut Rates</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-core-cpi-vs-unemployment-rate-when-fed-first-cut-rates/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Dec 2023 09:30:20 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Core CPI vs. Unemployment Rate When Fed First Cut Rates It is rare for the Fed to cut rates when core CPI exceeds the unemployment rate, signaling the central bank&#8217;s concern about potential inflationary pressures and its emphasis on maintaining price stability. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Core CPI Minus Unemployement Rate % vs. Fed Funds Rate</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-core-cpi-minus-unemployement-rate-vs-fed-funds-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 16 Dec 2023 09:31:06 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isabelnet.com/?p=90142</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Core CPI Minus Unemployement Rate % vs. Fed Funds Rate The Fed rarely cuts rates when core CPI exceeds the unemployment rate, reflecting the central bank&#8217;s concern about potential inflationary pressures in the economy and its emphasis on price stability. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>U.S. Unemployment Rate vs. 10-Year UST Yield and 3-Month UST Yield</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/u-s-unemployment-rate-vs-10-year-ust-yield-and-3-month-ust-yield/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Aug 2023 08:31:13 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Unemployment Rate vs. 10-Year UST Yield and 3-Month UST Yield A bull steepener occurs when the U.S. unemployment rate increases. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Recession &#8211; U.S. Personal Saving Rate vs. U.S. Unemployment Rate</title>
		<link>https://www.isabelnet.com/recession-u-s-personal-saving-rate-vs-u-s-unemployment-rate/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[isabelnet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Jul 2023 09:30:35 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Recession &#8211; U.S. Personal Saving Rate vs. U.S. Unemployment Rate Rising personal saving rates tend to be associated with economic downturns or recessions. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy]]></description>
		
		
		
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