U.S. CPI Inflation

U.S. CPI Inflation Chart suggesting lower inflation ahead. Image: Oxford Economics

U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index vs. U.S. Core CPI (Core Inflation Leading Indicator)

U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index vs. U.S. Core CPI (Core Inflation Leading Indicator) US annual core CPI in November stayed unchanged at 2.3%. This chart suggests that the U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index leads U.S. Core CPI by 24 months. You may also like “ISM Manufacturing Index vs. S&P 500 Index” and “U.S. Core Inflation Expected Over…

Hotel CPI (Inflation)

Hotel CPI (Inflation) Interesting chart showing that hotel CPI appears to be disconnected. Is the U.S. consumer doing well? Image: Quill Intelligence, LLC

Inflation and S&P 500 6-Month Realised Volatility

Inflation and S&P 500 6-Month Realised Volatility Since 1987, the S&P 500 6-month realised volatility has been the lowest, when U.S. CPI growth has been in the 2 to 3 per cent range. Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research