Search Results for: CPI

U.S. Federal Funds Effective Rate Less CPI Does the Fed still have a long way to go to curb inflation? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

First Major Fed Rate Cut – U.S. CPI vs. Unemployment Rate Can the Fed cut interest rates in response to the bank crisis? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

Inflation – U.S. Core PCE and Core CPI Goldman Sachs forecasts a significant decline in U.S. core PCE and core CPI. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Trailing P/E + CPI YoY and Prior Market Bottoms Historically, U.S. stocks bottomed when the S&P 500 trailing P/E + CPI was below 20. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

U.S. Recession – 3-Month T-Bills Minus 12-Month CPI Inflation and 10-Year Treasury Rate Minus 12-Month CPI Inflation Historically, there has never been a recession in the United States with negative real interest rates. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

Inflation – U.S. Trimmed and Median CPI Trimmed and median CPI remain sticky so far, which suggests that further rate hikes may be needed to tame inflation. Image: Deutsche Bank

Inflation – Net % Expecting Higher Global CPI Almost all FMS investors expect inflation rates to fall. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey

M2 Money Supply and CPI Inflation The big collapse in the M2 money supply still suggests lower inflation ahead. Image: Real Investment Advice

U.S. PPI Less U.S. CPI vs. S&P 500 12-Month Forward Profit Margin Are margins at risk, as they tend to be correlated with the spread between PPI and CPI? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

Inflation – Potential Paths for Core CPI U.S. core CPI remains well above the Fed’s 2% inflation target. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy