S&P 500 Earnings Yield Minus U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield The recent rally has made U.S. equities expensive compared to bonds. Historically, when the risk premium has been at current levels, the S&P 500 has delivered an average 12-month return of just 2.5% over the past three decades. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Earnings and Estimates As the U.S. economy shows clear signs of slowing, and with persistent trade and policy headwinds alongside elevated equity valuations, S&P 500 earnings estimates may still have further to fall. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Earnings Estimates Morgan Stanley forecasts S&P 500 earnings per share to hit $271 in 2025 and $303 in 2026, indicating a bullish market outlook. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Nominal S&P 500 Earnings Growth – Nominal GDP Growth The rapid acceleration of U.S. corporate earnings growth over the past three decades, which has outpaced the broader U.S. economy, is a key factor behind today’s high market valuations—a trend that may persist. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Earnings and Gross Buybacks With U.S. corporate earnings on the rise, share buybacks in 2025 are expected to exceed $1 trillion. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Earnings Revisions Breadth and S&P 500 YoY Performance The divergence between earnings revisions and S&P 500 performance suggests that investors are looking beyond current analyst estimates, potentially betting on stronger-than-expected corporate performance. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
S&P 500 Earnings The impressive returns of the S&P 500 over the past year have been largely driven by earnings, particularly from a handful of high-performing tech stocks. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
S&P 500 Earnings Estimates The Magnificent Five are positioned for strong earnings growth through 2025, driven by superior sales growth, robust profit margins, and reasonable valuations relative to their growth potential. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Earnings vs. CPI and PPI While inflation can influence S&P 500 earnings, it is commonly seen as a lagging indicator rather than a leading one. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Percentage of S&P 500 Earnings by Sector This week is a crucial one for S&P 500 earnings, with several key events and releases that could significantly impact the market. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
S&P 500 Earnings The S&P 500 is expected to report strong earnings growth for the second quarter of 2024, driven primarily by the “Magnificent Seven” companies. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation