Total Negative Yielding Corporate Bonds Outstanding

Total Negative Yielding Corporate Bonds Outstanding Negative-yielding corporate debt passed $1 trillion in market value. Investors face significant risk should rates start to rise. Picture source: Bianco Research

Value of U.S. Corporate Bonds by Rating

Value of U.S. Corporate Bonds by Rating Since the Great Recession, the U.S. corporate bond debt rated ‘BBB’ exceeds $3 trillion. If the U.S. economy goes wrong, this is bad news for investors. Picture source: The Wall Street Journal

The U.S. Corporate Bond Debt Rated ‘BBB’ Exceeds $3 trillion

The U.S. Corporate Bond Debt Rated ‘BBB’ Exceeds $3 trillion The U.S. corporate bond debt rated ‘BBB’ exceeds $3 trillion. That’s 53% of investment-grade bonds in the United States. Keep in mind that any drop in the credit ratings could amplify the next recession: many investment grade investors own BBB-rated bonds, but are not allowed…

U.S. Yield Curve Leads Corporate Profits

U.S. Yield Curve Leads Corporate Profits This chart suggests that the U.S. 10-year less 3-month yield curve leads corporate profits by two years. Picture source: Oxford Economics, Macrobond

S&P 500 EPS vs. U.S. Nonfinancial Corporate Profits

S&P 500 EPS vs. U.S. Nonfinancial Corporate Profits Creative accounting is imaginative ways to present accounts. The divergences between earnings and U.S. nonfinancial corporate profits occur before recessions. Picture source: Gavekal, Macrobond

S&P 500 and Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield Index

S&P 500 and Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield Index The chart shows that the S&P 500 and high-yield bonds tend to go up and down together. Keep in mind that historically, the correlation between the S&P 500 and the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield Index is 91.7%. Picture source: First Pacific Advisors, LP

BBB Debt by Sector in the U.S.

BBB Debt by Sector in the U.S. By sector in the U.S., financial institutions have the largest amount of ‘BBB’ debt: $744 billion. That’s 53% of investment-grade bonds in the United States. You may also like “The U.S. Corporate Bond Debt Rated ‘BBB’ Exceeds $3 trillion.”  Picture source: S&P Global Fixed Income Research