Actual and Fair Value Estimate of the S&P 500 Index Level
Actual and Fair Value Estimate of the S&P 500 Index Level The fair value model from J.P. Morgan sees upside for the S&P 500 in 2021. Image: J.P. Morgan
Actual and Fair Value Estimate of the S&P 500 Index Level The fair value model from J.P. Morgan sees upside for the S&P 500 in 2021. Image: J.P. Morgan
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Fair Value Adjusted for QE A potential “blue wave” could add fuel to the bear steepening in the U.S. Treasury curve. Image: Oxford Economics
U.S. Dollar Index vs. Medium-Term Fair Value The U.S. dollar continues to be below medium-term fair value levels over the business cycle. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. 10-Year Yield vs. GDP + CPI Model Fair Value Are higher Treasury yields coming, as suggested by this model? Image: TS Lombard
Valuation – U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield vs. Fair Value Chart suggesting that U.S. 10-year Treasuries are extremely overvalued. Image: BCA Research
U.S. Retail Sales and Food Services vs. Fair Value Model After disappointing U.S. retail sales in September, this chart provides a good forward guide for U.S. consumer spending. The Fair Value Model leads consumption and includes: ASA Staffing Index (temps), spread between good unemployment (job leavers) and bad unemployment (job losers), and forward-looking income expectations.…
Leon Cooperman: Bull Market Cycles Don’t End at Fair Valuation, They Ended at Overvaluation “There is still more room for the market to run. We have a slowdown but not a recession and the market is ok.” Leon Cooperman (Omega Advisors founder) is a great value investor. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xz6ihkuW1AM
Outlook 2020: S&P 500 Target, GDP Growth Estimate and 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield LPL expects 1.75% U.S. GDP growth in 2020. The S&P 500 Index fair value target range is 3,200–3,300 by year-end 2020, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield target range is 2-2.25%. Image: LPL Financial LLC
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-long-term-forecast.mp4 This great long-term forecast model displays the annual and total return expected for the next 10 years with a high degree of confidence This advanced model makes a forecast for the next 12 months, next 3 years, next 5 years, and next 10 years, with dividends reinvested. For each period, it displays the annual…
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-short-term-forecast.mp4 This great tool shows the US stock market forecast for the next 12 months and the probability This advanced mathematical model extracts insights from multiple financial data and produces a stock market short-term forecast for the next 12 months with a very high degree of confidence. This great prediction model is updated daily. It…