Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) and 10-Year Spread (Leading Indicator) The 10-year spread (Euro vs. U.S. dollar swap rates) tends to lead EUR/USD by 22 days. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
EUR/USD and Relative Real Rates Is there more downside risks for EUR/USD, as relative real rates now point to EUR/USD below 1.10? Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) After U.S. Presidential Inaugurations In recent history, the EUR/USD tends to drop on average after U.S. Presidential inaugurations. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
EUR/USD and Relative Growth Expectations (EMU vs. U.S.) Will the current EUR/USD trend eventually reverse, as the U.S. is expected to outperform Europe? Image: Nordea and Macrobond
CTAs Aggregate Net Position in USD vs. the Dollar Index (DXY) CTAs seem to have put on hold their covering of U.S. dollar shorts. Image: Nomura
USD IG Real Yields USD investment-grade real yields are extremely low. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
CTA’s Net Position in EUR/USD vs. EUR/USD CTAs are buying EUR/USD again. Image: Nomura
12-Month Moving Correlation of U.S. 10-Year Bond Yields to U.S. Stocks in USD The correlation between U.S. stocks and bond yields should soon become negative. Image: BCA Research
% Move in EUR/USD After U.S. Presidential Inaugurations EUR/USD has tended to decline in the weeks following U.S. presidential inaugurations since 1974. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) and China’s Credit Impulse (Leading Indicator) China’s credit impulse tends to lead the EUR/USD by 12 months. Image: Nordea and Macrobond