U.S. 10-Year – 2-Year Yield Curve
U.S. 10-Year – 2-Year Yield Curve Historically, the re-steepening of the U.S. 10Y-2Y yield curve from the trough has preceded recessions. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
U.S. 10-Year – 2-Year Yield Curve Historically, the re-steepening of the U.S. 10Y-2Y yield curve from the trough has preceded recessions. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
S&P 500 and Peak in U.S. 2-Year Yields Should investors expect the S&P 500 to rebound after the peak in U.S. 2-year yields? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. 10-Year Yields and Peak in U.S. 2-Year Yields Will U.S. Treasury yields peak once the Fed finishes tightening? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Dollar and Peak in U.S. 2-Year Yields Will the U.S. dollar stay strong as long as the Fed remains hawkish? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Days from Peak in U.S. 2-Year Yield to End of Fed Hiking Cycles Will the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield peak before the end of the Fed’s hiking cycle? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Rates – 6-Month Change in U.S. 2-Year Yield This is the largest 6-month change in U.S. 2-year rates since mid-1994. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) vs. U.S. Minus G10 (Ex. U.S.) 2-Year Yield Rising U.S. interest rates tend to make the U.S. dollar stronger. Image: Alpine Macro
U.S./German 2-Year Yield Spread vs. U.S./Euro Foreign Exchange Rate This chart shows the Euro vs. US Dollar (EUR/USD) and how a wider U.S./German 2-year yield spread corresponds to a stronger US dollar. R² = 0.62 since 2005.
U.S. 10-Year/2-Year Yield Spread vs. Fed Funds Target Rate Interesting chart showing the U.S. 10Y-2Y yield curve steepness versus. the Fed funds target rate (inverted). Image: Credit Suisse
U.S. 10-Year/2-Year Yield Curve and Recession After the first Fed rate cut, a steepening of the U.S. 2-Year/10-Year spread could suggest a recession is coming. Image: UBS
U.S. 2-Year Treasury Yield vs. Fed Funds The current 2-year U.S. Treasury yield, which is below the fed funds rate, signals that monetary policy is restrictive. It also implies the Fed is about 80 basis points behind the curve in cutting rates. Image: Real Investment Advice