Rates – 6-Month Change in U.S. 2-Year Yield
Rates – 6-Month Change in U.S. 2-Year Yield This is the largest 6-month change in U.S. 2-year rates since mid-1994. Image: BofA Global Research
Rates – 6-Month Change in U.S. 2-Year Yield This is the largest 6-month change in U.S. 2-year rates since mid-1994. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) vs. U.S. Minus G10 (Ex. U.S.) 2-Year Yield Rising U.S. interest rates tend to make the U.S. dollar stronger. Image: Alpine Macro
U.S./German 2-Year Yield Spread vs. U.S./Euro Foreign Exchange Rate This chart shows the Euro vs. US Dollar (EUR/USD) and how a wider U.S./German 2-year yield spread corresponds to a stronger US dollar. R² = 0.62 since 2005.
U.S. 10-Year/2-Year Yield Spread vs. Fed Funds Target Rate Interesting chart showing the U.S. 10Y-2Y yield curve steepness versus. the Fed funds target rate (inverted). Image: Credit Suisse
U.S. 10-Year/2-Year Yield Curve and Recession After the first Fed rate cut, a steepening of the U.S. 2-Year/10-Year spread could suggest a recession is coming. Image: UBS
Yield Curve – U.S. 10-Year – 2-Year Government Bond Spread Is the U.S. economy heading for a recession? Historically, a prolonged yield curve inversion has been a good indicator of recession. Image: The Daily Shot
U.S. 2-Year Treasury Yield vs. Fed Funds Historically, U.S. 2-year Treasury yields tend to lead Fed funds by 20 weeks. Image: Richardson Wealth
Fed Funds vs. 2-Year U.S. Treasury Yield (Leading Indicator) 2-year U.S. Treasury yields tend to lead Fed funds by 20 weeks. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
U.S. Rates – 2-Year and 10-Year Treasury Yield Forecasts Has the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield peaked? Image: BofA Global Research
Valuation – S&P 500 12-Month Forward P/E Ratio and 2-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Historically, rising rates tend to compress S&P 500 valuation multiples. Image: Alpine Macro