Search Results for: global recession

Global Oil Consumption as a % of GDP and Global Recessions Chart suggesting that Brent crude prices need to exceed US$117 to push the global economy into recession. Image: Financial Times

Fears of Global Recession The latest BofAML’s European credit investor survey shows that fears of global recession have risen to 42%. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch

Probability of Global Recession The probability of a global recession among asset managers is greater than 50%. Image: Financial Times

When Will the Next Global Recession Begin? 55% of investors expect a global recession by 2020 and 45% in 2021 or later. Who is right? Image: Barclays Research

Global Investment Research Financial Excess Monitor and Recessions The heat map suggests below-average imbalances in the U.S. economy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Global Debt by Sector and Recession Risk With global growth slowing, this chart suggests that the biggest recession risk is corporate deleveraging. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Investment Strategy

Advanced Economy Recessions During Global Stress Periods Interesting chart showing the number of advanced economies in recession during global stress periods. Image: Oxford Economics

Global Equity vs. Bonds and U.S. Unemployment Rate and Recessions The chart shows that the U.S. business cycle drives global asset allocation and suggests a possible U.S. recession in 2020. Image: Pictet Asset Management

Cumulative Decline in U.S. Real GDP during Previous Recessions Bank of America sees a -10.4% cumulative decline in U.S. real GDP this year. Image: BofA Global Research

Peak to Trough Decline in LTM S&P 500 EPS during 11 Recessions Since 1947 Goldman Sachs expects EPS to fall 33% in the United States (base case scenario). Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research