Probability of Global Recession

Probability of Global Recession The probability of a global recession among asset managers is greater than 50%. Picture source: Financial Times

When Will the Next Global Recession Begin?

When Will the Next Global Recession Begin? 55% of investors expect a global recession by 2020 and 45% in 2021 or later. Who is right? Picture source: Barclays Research

Money Market Fund Flows and Probability of Recession

Money Market Fund Flows and Probability of Recession Investors move to safe assets by raising their cash holdings, like 2007/2008. This chart suggests that the probability of a recession in the next 12 months is high. Picture source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Global Nominal GDP and Corporate Profits

Global Nominal GDP and Corporate Profits This chart shows the correlation and the slowdown in global growth and corporate profits. Historically, margin pressures have preceded the start of recessions. Picture source: J.P. Morgan