Search Results for: global recession

Probability of a U.S. Recession Starting in the Next 12 Months The probability of a recession in the United States remains low over the next 12 months. Image: S&P Global Ratings

S&P 500 Index Declines Around Recessions Historically, the S&P 500 has fallen by a median 24% from peak to trough around recessions. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Performance – S&P 500 Declines by Recessions The S&P 500 declined an average of 27.5% over the past 11 recessions. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Recession Probability Based on Front-End Yield Curve Slope The probability of a recession in the United States is still low over the next 12 months. Image: BofA Global Research

Recession – U.S. Labor Market, Wage Growth and GDP Would it be possible to avoid a recession in the United States? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Fed Tightening and U.S. Recessions Should investors be worried when the Fed stops raising or cuts rates? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Recession – Proportion of U.S. Yield Curve Inverted When the number of inverted yield curves exceeds 50%, the risk of a recession in the United States increases significantly. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Probability of a Recession Starting in the Next 12 Months and Probability of Being in a Recession Market-based indicators have priced a higher probability of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Market-Implied Probability of a Recession Starting Within 1 Year and Market-Implied Probability of Being in a Recession Should investors expect a U.S. recession in the next year? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. 10Y-5Y Yield Curve and Recessions Can investors expect a steepening yield curve as a recession hedge? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy