Sentiment – Risk Appetite and Expected U.S. Equity Market Performance

Sentiment – Risk Appetite and Expected U.S. Equity Market Performance Risk appetite among U.S. equity fund managers has taken a sharp hit in September, as the conflict in the Middle East fuels concerns about its economic fallout and the outlook for monetary and fiscal policy. Image: S&P Global Market Intelligence

U.S. Equity Market Capitalization

U.S. Equity Market Capitalization Since ChatGPT launched, multiple expansion has contributed 25% of the surge in U.S. market cap, crushing the equity risk premium and leaving little room for error if AI demand or earnings disappoint. Image: BCA Research

U.S. Equity Market Speculative Trading Indicator

U.S. Equity Market Speculative Trading Indicator Animal spirits are building, but not yet overheating. Retail activity and Goldman Sachs’s Speculative Trading Indicator are firm, still short of past cycle peaks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Ownership of the U.S. Equity Market

Ownership of the U.S. Equity Market U.S. households hold 40% of the U.S. equity market. That sounds like broad ownership. In reality, nearly 90% of that stake is held by the wealthiest 10%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Relative Equity Market Performance – USA vs. Rest of the World

Relative Equity Market Performance – USA vs. Rest of the World U.S. equities have lagged global peers recently, posting their steepest relative underperformance in 15 years. The leadership baton has passed to cheaper, more cyclical markets overseas, pointing to brighter days for the global cycle. Image: Deutsche Bank Research

Equity Market and Share of the Biggest Sector in the U.S.

Equity Market and Share of the Biggest Sector in the U.S. History keeps repeating on Wall Street — when diversification fades, sector dominance rises. But it never lasts. Sooner or later, shifts in the economy, technology, or geopolitics bring the rotation full circle. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Foreign Investor Ownership Share of U.S. Equity Market

Foreign Investor Ownership Share of U.S. Equity Market With foreign investors holding a record 18% of U.S. stocks, they are chasing the American dream, piling into U.S. equities on hopes that President Trump keeps the bull run alive. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Share of Global Equity Market

U.S. Share of Global Equity Market The U.S. share of the global equity market, while still dominant at 54%, has retreated from its peak of 57%, reflecting recent market turbulence and growing diversification concerns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research