S&P 500 Index Returns When Democrats Controlled the White House and Congress A Democratic sweep could mean faster economic recovery and should not scare markets. Image: LPL Research
Prediction Market Probability that Democrats Have Control Following the 2020 U.S. Election The prediction market probability of the Democrats taking control of the Senate has increased to 32%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Prediction Market Probability That Democrats Have Control Following 2020 Election According to Goldman Sachs, the odds of a “blue wave” in November have risen and could lift the effective S&P 500 tax rate from 18% back to 26%, reducing the 2021 EPS forecast from $170 to $150. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Recovery of the U.S. Economy – Republicans vs. Democrats Republicans and Democrats have different views on the recovery of the U.S. economy. Republicans are eager to reopen economy, while Democrats are more cautious. Image: Financial Times
U.S. Economic Impact of the Coronavirus Pandemic – Republicans vs. Democrats Republicans are more concerned about the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the U.S. economy than Democrats. Image: Financial Times
Democrats, Republicans, Independents – View of the Economy Americans are showing some doubts about the economy, but Democrats are more concerned than Republicans. Image: The New York Times
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index – Democrats vs. Republicans This chart shows that Democrats and Republicans have a completely different view of the U.S. economy. Democrats see a recession coming and Republicans see economic growth. Image: John Kemp
Median 1-Year U.S. Inflation by Party Inflation expectations in the U.S. over the coming 12 months differ sharply along partisan lines, with Republicans anticipating low inflation and Democrats expecting it to rise significantly. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With Republicans achieving a trifecta by winning the House, Senate, and presidency, Democrats will find it difficult to advance their policy agenda. Historically, markets have performed best under a divided Congress. Have a Great Day, Everyone! 😎
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day – U.S. Presidential Election 2024 – Have a Great Day, Everyone! 😎
Impact of U.S. Corporate Tax Hike on S&P 500 This table suggests the impact on the S&P 500 if Joe Biden won the election and the Democrats swept both houses of Congress. Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research