S&P 500 Index Returns When Democrats Controlled the White House and Congress A Democratic sweep could mean faster economic recovery and should not scare markets. Image: LPL Research
Prediction Market Probability that Democrats Have Control Following the 2020 U.S. Election The prediction market probability of the Democrats taking control of the Senate has increased to 32%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Prediction Market Probability That Democrats Have Control Following 2020 Election According to Goldman Sachs, the odds of a “blue wave” in November have risen and could lift the effective S&P 500 tax rate from 18% back to 26%, reducing the 2021 EPS forecast from $170 to $150. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Recovery of the U.S. Economy – Republicans vs. Democrats Republicans and Democrats have different views on the recovery of the U.S. economy. Republicans are eager to reopen economy, while Democrats are more cautious. Image: Financial Times
U.S. Economic Impact of the Coronavirus Pandemic – Republicans vs. Democrats Republicans are more concerned about the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the U.S. economy than Democrats. Image: Financial Times
Democrats, Republicans, Independents – View of the Economy Americans are showing some doubts about the economy, but Democrats are more concerned than Republicans. Image: The New York Times
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index – Democrats vs. Republicans This chart shows that Democrats and Republicans have a completely different view of the U.S. economy. Democrats see a recession coming and Republicans see economic growth. Image: John Kemp
Impact of U.S. Corporate Tax Hike on S&P 500 This table suggests the impact on the S&P 500 if Joe Biden won the election and the Democrats swept both houses of Congress. Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research
U.S. Elections – Dow Jones vs. Presidential Political Party Republicans vs. Democrats: this chart shows that Dow Jones returns have been much better when a Democrat held the presidency. Image: Ned Davis Research
United States Corporate Income Tax Rate and Median S&P 500 Company Effective Rate According to Goldman Sachs, the effective S&P 500 tax rate could lift to 26%, if Democrats win the presidency and the Senate in November. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research