U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It is a contrarian indicator. A bullish signal suggests that the U.S. stock market may go up, while a bearish signal…
U.S. Stock Market Valuations – Combined P/E Ratio High P/E ratios in U.S. tech stocks are a double-edged sword: they reflect both the sector’s growth potential and the risks of overvaluation driven by investor optimism. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 and Breadth-Based Stock Market Bottom Signal A signal indicating a potential market bottom, based on extreme breadth levels, has been triggered. Historically, such signals often precede market turning points but are not infallible and can sometimes appear prematurely. Image: Bloomberg
U.S. Stock Market – Margin Debt and Free Cash Balances The record surge in margin debt reflects heightened risk-taking among investors. If retail enthusiasm persists, this trend may continue, but elevated margin debt levels could amplify market volatility. Image: Real Investment Advice
Valuation – Market Capitalization of Stock Market / M2 Money Supply The current high market capitalization of U.S. equities relative to M2 suggests that investors are anticipating very optimistic future earnings and a stable economic outlook. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
U.S. Stock Market Valuation – Cape Ratio The S&P 500’s CAPE ratio remains historically high, which could potentially lead to lower subsequent returns over the following 10 years. Image: Real Investment Advice
Stock Market Performance Is it the end of the web 2.0 bubble? Image: BCA Research
U.S. Stock Market – Nifty Fifty Price Returns Will the U.S. stock market be “dead” money over the next 10 years? Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
Brent Crude Oil and Saudi Arabia Stock Market (Leading Indicator) Will oil prices remain high as global demand for oil continues to rise? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Stock Market Strength vs. Volatility 2022 starts to smell like 2008. Are U.S. stocks in a secular bear market? Image: Willie Delwiche
S&P 500 Drawdown – Geopolitical Events and Stock Market Reactions Historically, the impact of geopolitical events on U.S. stocks has tended to be short-lived. Image: LPL Research