U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Wednesday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.30%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market…
Share Repurchases vs. U.S. Stock Market Returns Corporate buybacks and market returns move in tandem. With roughly $5 billion a day in share repurchases, U.S. companies are keeping a solid bid under equities and softening every selloff. Image: Real Investment Advice
U.S. Stock Market Valuations – Combined P/E Ratio High P/E ratios in U.S. tech stocks cut both ways — they highlight the sector’s strong growth prospects but also the danger of valuations inflated by unbridled investor optimism. Image: Topdown Charts
U.S. Stock Market – Margin Debt and Free Cash Balances The current record margin debt, exceeding $1 trillion, signals heightened investor risk-taking and confidence; however, if the market falters, this elevated leverage could amplify volatility and losses. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 and Breadth-Based Stock Market Bottom Signal A signal indicating a potential market bottom, based on extreme breadth levels, has been triggered. Historically, such signals often precede market turning points but are not infallible and can sometimes appear prematurely. Image: Bloomberg
Valuation – Market Capitalization of Stock Market / M2 Money Supply The current high market capitalization of U.S. equities relative to M2 suggests that investors are anticipating very optimistic future earnings and a stable economic outlook. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
U.S. Stock Market Valuation – Cape Ratio The S&P 500’s CAPE ratio remains historically high, which could potentially lead to lower subsequent returns over the following 10 years. Image: Real Investment Advice
Stock Market Performance Is it the end of the web 2.0 bubble? Image: BCA Research
U.S. Stock Market – Nifty Fifty Price Returns Will the U.S. stock market be “dead” money over the next 10 years? Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
Brent Crude Oil and Saudi Arabia Stock Market (Leading Indicator) Will oil prices remain high as global demand for oil continues to rise? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Stock Market Strength vs. Volatility 2022 starts to smell like 2008. Are U.S. stocks in a secular bear market? Image: Willie Delwiche