U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Tuesday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was neutral well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 barely moved, closing up just 0.13%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S.…
U.S. Stock Market Valuations – Combined P/E Ratio U.S. tech stocks still command a premium over the broader market, fueled by strong growth prospects, though that gap looks unlikely to close unless a recession shakes investor confidence. Image: Topdown Charts
U.S. Stock Market Concentration The U.S. stock market is as concentrated as it has been in decades, but history is full of similar moments, from the railroad boom of 1900 to the dominance of mega-caps in the 1930s and 1960s. Image: Bloomberg
U.S. Stock Market – Margin Debt and Free Cash Balances The current record margin debt, exceeding $1 trillion, signals heightened investor risk-taking and confidence; however, if the market falters, this elevated leverage could amplify volatility and losses. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 and Breadth-Based Stock Market Bottom Signal A signal indicating a potential market bottom, based on extreme breadth levels, has been triggered. Historically, such signals often precede market turning points but are not infallible and can sometimes appear prematurely. Image: Bloomberg
U.S. Stock Market Valuation – Cape Ratio The S&P 500’s CAPE ratio remains historically high, which could potentially lead to lower subsequent returns over the following 10 years. Image: Real Investment Advice
Stock Market Performance Is it the end of the web 2.0 bubble? Image: BCA Research
U.S. Stock Market – Nifty Fifty Price Returns Will the U.S. stock market be “dead” money over the next 10 years? Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
Brent Crude Oil and Saudi Arabia Stock Market (Leading Indicator) Will oil prices remain high as global demand for oil continues to rise? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Stock Market Strength vs. Volatility 2022 starts to smell like 2008. Are U.S. stocks in a secular bear market? Image: Willie Delwiche
S&P 500 Drawdown – Geopolitical Events and Stock Market Reactions Historically, the impact of geopolitical events on U.S. stocks has tended to be short-lived. Image: LPL Research