U.S. Stock Market Annualized Returns since 1872 You may notice as the timeframes get longer, the frequency of losses rapidly decreases. During 1872 to 2018, there were no 20-year rolling periods with stock market losses. Picture source: Visual Capitalism
“The Stock Market Is Filled with Individuals…” –Phillip Fisher Quote of the day: “The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing.” –Phillip Fisher
The Rise of ETFs May Distort the Stock Market Vanguard holds more than a 5% stake in 99.8% S&P 500 stocks. Picture source: BofA Merrill Lynch
Stock Market Forecasting Models vs. US Stock Market – Growth of $1,000 As an example, the chart shows the growth of $1,000 since 1970, between the stock market forecasting models and the US stock market (compound return before taxes, fees and transactions costs – unleveraged, simulated long & short trades – quarterly basis & logarithmic…
99% Correlation with the US Stock Market and an R² of 0.97 since 1970 Our forecasting models have a fantastic 99% correlation with the US stock market on a quarterly basis since 1970 and an R² of 0.97. It means that 97 percent of the US stock market variance is predictable by the flows of data…
