U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Friday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 didn’t disappoint, ending the day up 1.20%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S.…
Length of Bull Markets and When They Started Born in October 2022, this bull market is young by market history. It may have more fuel in the tank than the bears would like to admit. Too many forget just how early this bull market still is. Image: Carson Investment Research
Investors Intelligence Bull-Bear Spread and S&P 500 Bulls are slipping out the side door. Over the past decade, every sustained S&P 500 gain came when the II bull‑bear spread topped 20%. That kind of conviction is missing now. Image: Hi Mount Research
Net Bullish Sentiment vs. S&P 500 Index Investor sentiment has turned sharply risk‑averse in recent weeks, as the Middle East conflict and its potential spillovers have made markets more cautious about risk assets. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Bull Markets Over the past 50 years, the average U.S. bull market has lasted eight years and delivered 288% gains. With this one only in its fourth, there’s good reason to think the run isn’t done. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets (Midterm Election Years Only) Bull markets don’t offer immunity. U.S. midterm election years tend to bring choppier trading and elevated volatility for the S&P 500 until late in the year. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 and Combination of Forward PE, VIX, Bullish Sentiment The Euphoriameter, a composite of forward P/E, the VIX, and bullish sentiment, has cooled from a year ago but is still sitting close to the top of its historical range, flashing an early warning for the market cycle. Image: Topdown Charts
AAII Bulls Minus Bears and S&P 500 Returns The AAII bulls minus bears sentiment spread in 2025 has mirrored bear market extremes from history, reflecting deep pessimism over near‑term stock performance — but to contrarians, that gloom looks like opportunity. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Yearly Performance During Bull Markets History favors the bulls: since 1950, only once has an S&P 500 bull market ended in its fourth year—history therefore favors further upside over a transition to bear market. Image: Carson Investment Research Click the Image to Enlarge
S&P 500 Yearly Performance During Bull Markets Now in its fourth year, the bull market shows little sign of tiring. History still favors the bulls—since 1950, this phase of the cycle has usually meant more upside, not a break into bear territory. Image: Carson Investment Research
The 2009 S&P 500 Bull Market Compared With This One No market cycle is identical, but the S&P 500’s path since 2022 looks like a remix of the 2009–2020 bull market—same mid‑cycle pullback, same setup for another leg higher, much to the bulls’ delight. Image: Carson Investment Research