Net Bullish Sentiment vs. S&P 500 Index Investor sentiment has improved significantly since the April market turmoil, driven by trade-related optimism, but it has yet to reach the extreme bullishness that typically signals market peaks. Image: Real Investment Advice
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It is a contrarian indicator. A bullish signal suggests that the U.S. stock market may go up, while a bearish signal…
AAII Investor Sentiment Bull Minus Bear Spread The AAII investor sentiment bull-minus-bear spread signals a bullish outlook, reflecting optimism and confidence among individual investors. Image: J.P. Morgan
The 2009 S&P 500 Bull Market Compared With This One Near-bear market corrections in the middle of year three are common in long bull markets, reflecting normal consolidation phases within a longer-term upward trend, as seen in the 2009 bull market and the ongoing one. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 and Combination of Forward PE, VIX, Bullish Sentiment The Euphoriameter, which combines forward P/E, VIX, and bullish sentiment, remains elevated and suggests caution based on cycles analysis. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Bull Markets Over the past five decades, five bull markets have lasted over two years, averaging 8 years and gaining 288%. Since the current bull market is just 32 months old and has risen 68%, it may still have plenty of room to grow. Image: Carson Investment Research
New Bull Markets Start (20% Off Bear Lows or Near Bear Lows) and What Happened Next for the S&P 500 Bulls have reason to be optimistic, as the S&P 500’s rally of over 20% from its April 8th low follows a historical pattern that has nearly always resulted in higher prices a year later, with…
Length of Bull Markets and When They Started The current bull market, which began in October 2022, remains relatively young by historical standards and could persist much longer than bearish observers expect. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Yearly Performance During Bull Markets Historically, the first two years of a bull market tend to deliver robust returns. While the third year may test investors’ patience, historical trends suggest that better times often follow. Image: Carson Investment Research Click the Image to Enlarge
S&P 500 Performance After at Least 15 Weeks of AAII Bears over Bulls Ends A streak of 15 consecutive weeks with more bears than bulls in the AAII survey is rare—only four other periods have lasted this long. In each case, the S&P 500 was higher 12 months later, with an average gain of 27.5%.…
Bullish Percent Index vs. S&P 500 Index The S&P 500’s rally has reversed extreme bearish sentiment, pushing the number of stocks on bullish buy signals toward 70% and confirming a significant, broad-based improvement in market breadth. Image: Real Investment Advice