U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It is a contrarian indicator. A bullish signal suggests that the U.S. stock market may go up, while a bearish signal…
S&P 500 and Combination of Forward PE, VIX, Bullish Sentiment The Euphoriameter indicator (a combination of forward P/E, VIX, and bullish sentiment) peaked in November 2024 and continues its downward trend, with no bottoming signal yet. Image: Topdown Charts
AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bull – Bear Spread The most recent AAII U.S. investor sentiment bull-bear spread reflects ongoing pessimism among individual investors. Image: The Daily Shot
Net Bullish Sentiment vs. S&P 500 Index The current extreme bearish sentiment, historically linked to market bottoms, suggests the potential for a reflexive rally rather than signaling an impending downturn. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Bull Markets The current bull market, which began in October 2022, is showing potential for continued growth at 28 months old. Historically, bull markets have lasted an average of 5.5 years since 1949, with an average gain of 191.6%. Image: Carson Investment Research
Length of Bull Markets and When They Started Despite being 28 months old, the bull market that started in October 2022 is still considered young. Historical patterns suggest it may last much longer than bearish market observers anticipate. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Bull Markets Over the past 50 years, five bull markets have lasted over two years, averaging 8 years and a 288% gain. At 28 months old and up 71%, the current bull market appears to be in its early stages, with potential for continued growth. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Average Returns in Bull Markets While the third year of a bull market often shows signs of relative weakness, patient investors may find substantial opportunities in the following years, as historical trends suggest the potential for sustained growth. Image: Carson Investment Research
Bullish Percent Index vs. S&P 500 Index The percentage of U.S. stocks with bullish buy signals is at levels where stocks typically find buying support and often indicates a potential bullish reversal. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Return – Year 3 of Bull Market Like a kid who loses interest in his favorite toy after two years, the S&P 500 tends to slow down in the third year of a bull market. Its gains often become less impressive compared to the first two years. Image: MarketDesk
Percentage Change in S&P 500 in Previous Bull Markets The current bull market appears to be in its early stages, with historical data supporting the potential for significant gains in the coming months and years. Image: Bloomberg