Retail Share of Trading Volumes in Select U.S. Equity Index ETF Since 2021 Retail traders are piling into leveraged U.S. equity index ETFs, hardly a surprise given their long-standing appetite for leverage. The trade looks smart in the moment, until it doesn’t. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Options: % of S&P 500 Listed Volume Expiring within 24 Hours The frenzy in S&P 500 options expiring within 24 hours shows no sign of cooling, now making up more than 62% of total volume and amplifying short-term volatility through fast-turn bets. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Performance of a Basket of Stocks with the Most Net Call Volume in the Previous Week The latest U.S.-China trade escalation is a reminder of how fast momentum-driven strategies can crumble once volatility resurfaces and the market’s mood turns. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Net Call Volume for the Most Shorted Stocks vs the Rest The recent rally in the most shorted stocks has been fueled by a surge in net call volumes, driven largely by retail investor enthusiasm and speculative options trading. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 and NYSE >89% Advancers and >89% Advancing Volume in Nine Days A rare event—over 89% of NYSE stocks and volume advancing twice in nine days—has historically signaled strong bullish momentum. Since 1980, the S&P 500 was positive 100% of the time over the next year, with a median 35% gain. Image: Carson Investment…
Notional Volume Traded in Listed U.S. Equity Options Thanks to strong participation from both retail and institutional investors, U.S. equity options are seeing rising average daily trading volumes—a trend that shows no signs of slowing down. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Huge Advancing Volume as a % of Total Volume and What the S&P 500 Did Next NYSE’s surging advancing volume on Wednesday is highly bullish, with historical data since 1980 showing the S&P 500 consistently gaining over 3-, 6-, and 12-month periods afterward, averaging a 29.2% annual return. Image: Carson Investment Research
Sentiment – 5-Day Put/Call Volume Ratio The 5-day moving average of the put/call volume ratio has hit its lowest point since late 2021’s bull market peak. Sustained low readings in this ratio often indicate market tops and excessive optimism. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Equity Index Option Volume As Trump prepares for his second term, the combination of his policy direction and the prevailing market conditions is poised to boost the options market, particularly among retail investors. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 and S&P 500 Cumulative Net Up Volume Recent upside breakouts in S&P 500 cumulative net up volume, along with other bullish indicators, suggest that the S&P 500 may continue to reach new highs, indicating a robust market environment. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 and NYSE Daily Advancing Volume 10x More than Daily Declining Volume When the daily advancing volume on the NYSE is ten times greater than the daily declining volume, it typically leads to higher S&P 500 prices over the next 12 months, with an average gain of 12.8% since 1979. Image: Carson Investment Research